Europa Conference League · resolved market
ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a1c1fd582f3cfa81b7adb3bcb0b3d3465cef70e17cca166a6233bdaedc1a02f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 6,067$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.51 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 5,044$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.39 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 28c | 3,891$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.96 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Over | 19c | 2,734$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 72c | 2,163$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.36 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 29c | 1,701$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 72c | 1,450$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.41 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 27c | 1,200$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.63 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 76c | 1,194$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.23 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Under | 60c | 738.32$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 21c | 703.81$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.73 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 71c | 689.07$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.83 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 63c | 570.73$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.61 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…e1b9backed Over | 37c | 432.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 32c | 365$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a5…4a10backed Under | 58c | 341$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 41c | 328.51$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.69 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 70c | 288$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.85 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…c873backed Under | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 78c | 250.91$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 39c | 239.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e97…8908backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +82%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 30c | 149.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…074bbacked Under | 69c | 143.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 27c | 142.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 137.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 61c | 127$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 30c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 38c | 100.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 39c | 100.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 61c | 94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 32c | 84.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 61c | 79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 33c | 68.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 34c | 50.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 39c | 49.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 39c | 49.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 73c | 47.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Under | 72c | 47.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 71c | 33.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Over | 43c | 30.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 63c | 29.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 55c | 29.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…61febacked Under | 70c | 27.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…45babacked Under | 74c | 25.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 67c | 23.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79e1…843fbacked Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 71c | 21.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 73c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 66c | 20.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 65c | 20.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…4214backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…45e8backed Under | 76c | 19.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 71c | 16.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 72c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 74c | 13.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…26edbacked Under | 74c | 13.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: ÍF Vestri O/U 0.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: ÍF Vestri O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.