Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cd4d1a24b9adfad93a173127927d83e56ae97fcbc1b115036c5a397052d526f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qarabağ Ağdam FKof Qarabağ Ağdam FK, ÍF Vestri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 66c | 14,191$9,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,759.58 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed ÍF Vestri | 32c | 8,613$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.7 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked ÍF Vestri | 32c | 5,615$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.33 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496b…79a8backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 71c | 4,933$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 63c | 3,091$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed ÍF Vestri | 33c | 2,378$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.88 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked ÍF Vestri | 31c | 2,005$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.19 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed ÍF Vestri | 14c | 1,621$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.95 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked ÍF Vestri | 34c | 1,024$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.04 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 77c | 864.97$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.08 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed ÍF Vestri | 33c | 792$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.87 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked ÍF Vestri | 34c | 475.31$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.05 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed ÍF Vestri | 26c | 368.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 76c | 368.28$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 62c | 359.26$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.52 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 59c | 333.46$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.72 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked ÍF Vestri | 32c | 300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed ÍF Vestri | 32c | 280.01$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed ÍF Vestri | 41c | 262.2$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7d…96a3backed ÍF Vestri | 24c | 249.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked ÍF Vestri | 33c | 248.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 66c | 241.24$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 67c | 204.19$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 54c | 203.34$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.21 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed ÍF Vestri | 31c | 146.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 70c | 142$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 70c | 141.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ÍF Vestri | 33c | 106.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed ÍF Vestri | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ÍF Vestri | 46c | 83.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed ÍF Vestri | 24c | 82.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 70c | 76.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ÍF Vestri | 26c | 76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed ÍF Vestri | 34c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed ÍF Vestri | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ÍF Vestri | 29c | 50.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed ÍF Vestri | 33c | 47.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed ÍF Vestri | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: ÍF Vestri O/U 0.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: ÍF Vestri O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.