Europa Conference League · resolved market
ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2a8bb944d4691d2fb77053667fe5ee84eec7e5a86e016a6cdd2887dd092ccf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 30c | 2,935$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.62 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 14c | 2,577$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.72 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 68c | 2,196$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.8 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 72c | 1,482$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.02 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 1,385$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.9 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 32c | 881.08$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.95 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 31c | 759.85$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.09 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5277…b271backed Under | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 17c | 518.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.16 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Under | 7c | 419$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 17c | 343.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Over | 50c | 279.92$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Under | 4c | 279.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 68c | 219.09$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 68c | 209.48$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 72c | 190.47$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Under | 14c | 182.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Under | 33c | 181$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 67c | 179.46$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 31c | 173.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 14c | 117.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 30c | 112.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 67c | 101$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 20c | 76.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 67c | 74.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…78abbacked Under | 34c | 70.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 33c | 65.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 28c | 59.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 68c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 35c | 42.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 70c | 40.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 31c | 37.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Over | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: ÍF Vestri O/U 0.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: ÍF Vestri O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.