TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,716 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under52c12,500$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.9921237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Over48c9,069$4,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,311.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under50c8,339$4,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,191.92,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over48c6,189$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,970.924254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c6,067$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.99954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under25c4,824$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,622.611645.7%53 W · 63 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under79c3,689$2,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.314223.8%10 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c3,324$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.613,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under68c3,133$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.745440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over57c2,900$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.332259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under70c2,073$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.91977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under52c2,067$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.6166150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over59c2,065$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.121,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed Under51c1,813$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over51c1,800$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.989538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Under50c1,722$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8612360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over59c1,673$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.964341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over22c1,649$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.863857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over74c1,578$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.731,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999d…a1e1backed Over48c1,467$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.241361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over47c1,324$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.267354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e5…9105backed Over50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under41c1,111$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.481957.9%11 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+45.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8fa1…792fbacked Over49c1,031$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005030%15 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under42c1,013$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.4656849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+123.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Under42c999.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.993336.4%12 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c988.56$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.281,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under42c963.36$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.366363.5%40 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under43c868.81$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.5538453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under55c829.3$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.624151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under45c722.97$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.3735146.2%162 W · 189 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over47c718.58$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.3414245.8%65 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c692.05$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.8170239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5277…b271backed Under36c690.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.48944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick27cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over46c680$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.181440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under50c665.81$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.9827545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Over44c636.76$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.171030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid-31.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under53c633.71$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.1697346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under50c592.31$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.1714744.9%66 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a4…3d29backed Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Over59c576.71$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.261643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Over52c555$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Under53c553$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.183951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb5…98f8backed Under43c545.32$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under39c515.02$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2532436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dd2…9a46backed Over50c514$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c503.95$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.332,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Over21c477.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under49c442.67$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7636356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c439.01$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.955545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over27c407.41$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015544.5%69 W · 86 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over52c387.15$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0265535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over58c380$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.44755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over56c336.84$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2119848%95 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a5…4a10backed Under30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.331145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over56c309.63$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4615628.2%44 W · 112 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6428…8188backed Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1473100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under49c300$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.777855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under53c279.99$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6116443.9%72 W · 92 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdf…8116backed Over66c277$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Over57c265.51$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.346973.9%51 W · 18 L+19.0wins+0.28per pick46cpaid+87.8%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over62c264.37$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.065149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Under38c264.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.08650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+82%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Over48c255.85$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Under52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1208245.1%37 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over73c250$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.51822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+63.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under55c248.03$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2485260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under53c247.5$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.326352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under42c227.22$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.325952.5%31 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under49c227.14$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.842343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16db…af1cbacked Over44c225.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over56c222$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.321776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+51.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over59c202.58$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5233446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11814630.1%44 W · 102 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over55c194.16$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4823950.2%120 W · 119 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over13c190.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.879532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Under36c184.79$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.896035%21 W · 39 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under32c182.2$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6578344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Under53c169.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.813237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Under41c169$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.713138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick29cpaid-3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc38…bb0ebacked Over35c166.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over63c165.23$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3927846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over64c161.92$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.588333.7%28 W · 55 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under38c150.92$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.341216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-59.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over60c124.2$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.317958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under47c117.91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4350154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f50…fbf2backed Under43c116.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under51c115.12$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4113050%65 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over61c112.39$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.392,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over59c111.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.854953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over59c111.58$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.634438.6%17 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over59c110.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6517447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under50c107$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1144156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over71c105.65$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over49c105.61$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.752564%16 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.