TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,561
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,561 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under42c1,421$592 inLost-$592.192,34441.6%976 W · 1,368 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over55c1,234$679 inWon+$555.32259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over46c661.97$305 inWon+$357.467354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c483.92$252 inLost-$252.321,04650.2%525 W · 521 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd176…78bbbacked Over51c422.69$216 inWon+$207.12933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under49c384.49$188 inLost-$188.496947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under11c331.8$37 inLost-$37.3963957.1%365 W · 274 L+35.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over63c172.25$109 inWon+$63.73742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over70c168.69$118 inWon+$50.772,17537.6%817 W · 1,358 L+4.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under54c145.22$78 inLost-$78.421050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over50c143$72 inWon+$71.597846.2%452 W · 526 L-3.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under54c116.67$63 inLost-$635350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over66c114.99$76 inWon+$39.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over51c100$51 inWon+$491338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under54c90$49 inLost-$48.66352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under15c67.04$10 inLost-$10.145350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under50c63$32 inLost-$31.51,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under49c59.76$29 inLost-$29.2850354.7%275 W · 228 L+19.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over60c42.75$26 inWon+$17.22,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ef…4caabacked Under53c31.77$17 inLost-$16.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff5a…6cedbacked Over69c24.35$17 inWon+$7.55683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over51c22.76$12 inWon+$11.1565835.6%234 W · 424 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over65c22.49$15 inWon+$7.91662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf23a…6eb8backed Over51c21.57$11 inWon+$10.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over50c20$10 inWon+$1020860.1%125 W · 83 L-15.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.