Europa Conference League · resolved market
ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfe51b00a04469338b7abe53b2036fe7b29824da87cf121c900913da79f2f317
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 37c | 1,918$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.33 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 66c | 1,507$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.14 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f52…b5e7backed Yes | 38c | 1,339$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,300$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.9 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 997.95$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.38 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 26c | 897.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.48 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 61c | 855.7$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.95 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…f9d9backed Yes | 32c | 515.04$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked No | 70c | 455$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 24c | 398.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 27c | 366.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 62c | 323.62$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.47 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed Yes | 31c | 306.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 69c | 289.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 254.57$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 69c | 235.44$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.31 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Yes | 43c | 215.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed No | 72c | 212.7$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 26c | 206$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…8898backed Yes | 59c | 204.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 24c | 201.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 10c | 199.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 25c | 187.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 27c | 187.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 26c | 186.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 76c | 164$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 164$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 164$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed No | 75c | 141.11$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Yes | 25c | 140.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 72c | 125.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…8ea3backed Yes | 45c | 124.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 124.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…b29abacked No | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 73c | 104.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 55c | 99.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed No | 73c | 90.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 25c | 90.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 35c | 85.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d2…399bbacked No | 17c | 80.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Yes | 29c | 79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 40c | 71.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 69.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 45c | 69.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 61.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 25c | 59.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 70c | 54.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 29c | 54.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked No | 57c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 25c | 47.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yes | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93e…04b0backed Yes | 26c | 44.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 71c | 42.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 29c | 37.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 30c | 35.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 71c | 33.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Yes | 34c | 32.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 55c | 32.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 65c | 29.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 59c | 27.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed No | 57c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 70c | 18.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 64c | 18.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed No | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: ÍF Vestri O/U 0.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: ÍF Vestri O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.