Europa Conference League · resolved market
ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: ÍF Vestri O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b46fb4a7423b5d12f38e0d1f3dfed20b21bc2ca983bc7bff6875b9b04d9a8d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Over | 49c | 3,389$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 1,132$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.07 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 31c | 800.77$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.43 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 64c | 700.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.1 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 528.76$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.03 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 65c | 516.28$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.65 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 50c | 499$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 64c | 457.91$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.36 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 454.55$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.42 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 51c | 385$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.65 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 52c | 375.35$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.82 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2fda…b819backed Over | 51c | 370.39$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 39c | 365.61$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.41 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 35c | 357$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 55c | 222.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 34c | 221.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 23c | 219.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Under | 56c | 201.46$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 63c | 199.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 45c | 130.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…bf45backed Under | 61c | 120.69$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 35c | 113.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 58c | 113.26$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 49c | 93.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…78abbacked Over | 37c | 70.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 52c | 66.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…80afbacked Over | 44c | 42.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…4b1cbacked Over | 30c | 34.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Over | 44c | 25.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Under | 56c | 21.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: ÍF Vestri O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: ÍF Vestri O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.