Champions League · resolved market
SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc02a9c9be3ac2b78c5ca6c7970e1e298ba2015d58e4fab2434b94f1202cfe06e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 5c | 15,715$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.28 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 20c | 6,439$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.11 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 12c | 3,097$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.31 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 27c | 2,074$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.93 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 2,038$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.59 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 17c | 759.87$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 79c | 578.33$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a5…4a10backed Under | 30c | 393.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 34c | 374.97$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 66c | 364.3$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 14c | 363.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 10c | 280.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 66c | 204.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 35c | 149.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -22.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 145.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 19c | 135$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 36c | 117.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…0b87backed Over | 66c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 63c | 103.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 64c | 87.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 22c | 80.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 64c | 79.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5909…9c8cbacked Under | 25c | 71.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 65c | 65.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 257 | 29.6%76 W · 181 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 37c | 63.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 18c | 58.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 73c | 58.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 36c | 51.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Over | 63c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 76c | 48.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 65c | 43.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 62c | 38.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 294 | 45.9%135 W · 159 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 78c | 38.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 34.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Over | 74c | 26.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 72c | 25.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Over | 74c | 18.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 2.5this page
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 3.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: SK Iberia 1999 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: FC Flora (-1.5)SK Iberia 1999 won
- Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-1.5)FC Flora won
- Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-2.5)FC Flora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.