Champions League · resolved market
SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x040b390d13315b668bc1f23a28af5905b90d4f9f1c274fe364d2d0d777d51def
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 22,869$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.38 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 70c | 6,681$4,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.54 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Over | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked Over | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked Over | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Over | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 23c | 2,296$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.44 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 19c | 1,321$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.03 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 1,028$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.66 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 29c | 493.33$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Over | 10c | 434.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 77c | 287.88$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 75c | 230.84$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 23c | 203$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Under | 67c | 199.98$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 80c | 167.89$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -22.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 80c | 127$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…f414backed Over | 29c | 115.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 78c | 61.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 257 | 29.6%76 W · 181 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 61c | 60.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 21c | 56.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 80c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 31c | 47.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 64c | 47.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 78c | 31.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 18.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…7140backed Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 4.5this page
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 3.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: SK Iberia 1999 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: FC Flora (-1.5)SK Iberia 1999 won
- Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-1.5)FC Flora won
- Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-2.5)FC Flora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.