Champions League · resolved market
SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc97f54fe298c9fb56aa951bb46dd52b3669f50cd5d0d3504828e26271c9c21f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef84…6872backed Under | 2c | 8,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Under | 1c | 3,575$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,575$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Under | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 60c | 2,640$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.46 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.95 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 1,534$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.12 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 57c | 1,324$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.66 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 25c | 1,319$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.34 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…cdb2backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 889.8$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.1 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 876.35$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.35 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Over | 73c | 676.48$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.36 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Over | 75c | 666.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 658.61$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.16 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 72c | 638.85$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.24 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 47c | 534.35$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.2 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd2…9a46backed Over | 43c | 512$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 48c | 471.56$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.43 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 59c | 466.11$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.57 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 30c | 461.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.22 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 43c | 373.98$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.17 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 47c | 330$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 46c | 329.72$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 308.81$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Over | 48c | 303.19$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.71 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…0324backed Over | 43c | 294.09$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 49c | 270.47$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.14 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 49c | 258.83$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.4 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a5…4a10backed Under | 36c | 254.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 42c | 250.95$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 42c | 239.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.38 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 41c | 221.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.71 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…1478backed Over | 41c | 214.63$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 38c | 179.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…825cbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 59c | 149.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 42c | 137.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 59c | 131.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 58c | 130.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 43c | 125.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 41c | 122.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 58c | 122.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Over | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 43c | 103.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…e853backed Over | 64c | 94.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 35c | 91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 54c | 90.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 34c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 44c | 84.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 43c | 82.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 54c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 75c | 53.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…674cbacked Over | 53c | 53.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 62c | 48.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 60c | 48.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…1e34backed Over | 66c | 44.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 31c | 39.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -14.3wins | -0.38per pick | 40cpaid | -94.7%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Over | 39c | 36.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 51c | 36.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 56c | 34.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…7ec6backed Over | 78c | 31.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 71c | 28.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 58c | 26.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 59c | 25.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 44c | 23.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 63c | 21.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a3…a593backed Under | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 59c | 17.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Over | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 3.5this page
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: SK Iberia 1999 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: FC Flora (-1.5)SK Iberia 1999 won
- Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-1.5)FC Flora won
- Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-2.5)FC Flora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.