Champions League · resolved market
Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45c6330d8d07405010f09e57f0a0b3ce454d3ef6f2bc070a19868183c9a6718f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Floraof SK Iberia 1999, FC Flora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Flora | 60c | 1,086$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.63 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SK Iberia 1999 | 40c | 636.59$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.45 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed SK Iberia 1999 | 41c | 473.93$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.64 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FC Flora | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…4eb6backed SK Iberia 1999 | 42c | 253.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed SK Iberia 1999 | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked FC Flora | 60c | 199.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked FC Flora | 59c | 193.9$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SK Iberia 1999 | 39c | 153.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Flora | 21c | 128$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SK Iberia 1999 | 42c | 113.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed SK Iberia 1999 | 39c | 112.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked FC Flora | 60c | 75.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed FC Flora | 58c | 61.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed SK Iberia 1999 | 40c | 57.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed FC Flora | 61c | 56.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SK Iberia 1999 | 41c | 53.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed FC Flora | 64c | 50.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Flora | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 40c | 44.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed SK Iberia 1999 | 36c | 35.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FC Flora | 61c | 28.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed FC Flora | 61c | 27.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Flora | 66c | 15.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-1.5)this page
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 3.5Over won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: SK Iberia 1999 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: FC Flora (-1.5)SK Iberia 1999 won
- Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-2.5)FC Flora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.