Europa Conference League · resolved market
Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x391ba3fe5113462c4b21890b5971f954808689f4b38f2268b06d47f4ec8fea19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 41c | 4,866$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.21 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 43c | 4,632$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 60c | 2,197$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.15 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16de…fcc3backed Under | 67c | 1,667$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 54c | 1,598$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.25 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 59c | 1,455$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.97 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 43c | 1,319$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.44 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 70c | 1,275$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.48 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 1,239$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.46 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 59c | 1,174$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.14 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 56c | 850$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a5…4a10backed Under | 35c | 825.46$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 51c | 734.67$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.98 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 69c | 657.63$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.68 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 657$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.51 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 57c | 657$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.51 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 646.66$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.62 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 58c | 645.92$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.85 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 50c | 613.73$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.81 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 18c | 573$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 529.26$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.12 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 518.03$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.77 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 61c | 492.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.91 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 29c | 452.75$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 57c | 427.49$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.82 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 23c | 309.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 25c | 305.84$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.38 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 17c | 286.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 41c | 260.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 59c | 237.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 20c | 210$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 47c | 204.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Under | 48c | 200.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 17c | 170.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 42c | 154.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 30c | 149.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 46c | 138.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 57c | 134.79$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 62c | 127.52$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 16c | 119.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 59c | 115.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 55c | 96.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb18…6f32backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 44c | 90.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Over | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 42c | 86.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Over | 56c | 86.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 45c | 83.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…3546backed Over | 36c | 72.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 50c | 67.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 32c | 59.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 61c | 57.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 54c | 55.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 23c | 54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 75c | 51.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…4817backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Over | 43c | 46.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…e3c5backed Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 37c | 39.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -77%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 59c | 33.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 41c | 32.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 56c | 30.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…2bafbacked Over | 64c | 29.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 59c | 26.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 23.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 59c | 22.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 64c | 21.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Under | 60c | 21.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 80c | 18.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 59c | 17.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 61c | 16.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 2.5this page
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: Alashkert FA 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 0.5Over won
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 1.5Over won
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 3.5Under won
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 4.5Under won
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Alashkert FA (-1.5)FC CFR 1907 Cluj won
- Spread: FC CFR 1907 Cluj (-1.5)Alashkert FA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.