Europa Conference League · resolved market
Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddebd76314cbb641dbfaff62837a16bed1725af46f163b544407d3ac50a9876d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 48c | 859.74$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.52 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 52c | 263.76$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.73 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 52c | 236.92$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…08edbacked No | 51c | 165.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 117.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 46c | 76.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 74.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 52c | 74.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked No | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 46c | 65.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 56c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 39c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 54.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 47c | 53.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 51c | 49.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee41…2e5cbacked No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 60c | 46.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 47c | 45.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…6e97backed No | 53c | 36.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07db…29e4backed Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: Alashkert FA 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 0.5Over won
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 1.5Over won
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 2.5Under won
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 3.5Under won
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 4.5Under won
- Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Alashkert FA (-1.5)FC CFR 1907 Cluj won
- Spread: FC CFR 1907 Cluj (-1.5)Alashkert FA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.