TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Athens Open: Carole Monnet vs Rebeka Masarova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Carole Monnetof Carole Monnet, Rebeka Masarova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$387,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$378,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,864 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Rebeka Masarova50c53,117$26,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,497.688,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Carole Monnet42c48,704$20,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,150.5111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Carole Monnet44c32,524$14,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,243.6171729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x060f…5a9dbacked Carole Monnet80c22,157$17,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,532.177672.4%55 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Carole Monnet54c10,339$5,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,724.043,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rebeka Masarova57c7,757$4,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,419.658,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Rebeka Masarova32c7,609$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.086,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Carole Monnet15c4,946$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,196.355,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Carole Monnet36c4,534$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,901.976,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Carole Monnet30c4,332$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,047.7993740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Rebeka Masarova4c4,295$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.2531855.7%177 W · 141 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4a0…217abacked Rebeka Masarova2c4,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802347.8%11 W · 12 L+7.2wins+0.31per pick17cpaid+210.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc980…b7d3backed Rebeka Masarova2c3,500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701353.8%7 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.33per pick21cpaid+156.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Rebeka Masarova49c3,455$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.424,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Carole Monnet32c2,401$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.8742131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb763…4a90backed Carole Monnet77c2,245$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.442986.2%25 W · 4 L+5.8wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+72.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Carole Monnet37c1,902$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.351,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Carole Monnet58c1,691$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.573,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Rebeka Masarova8c1,157$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1718841.5%78 W · 110 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8027…2ee8backed Carole Monnet23c1,088$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.58022.5%18 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Rebeka Masarova42c1,050$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.685449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Carole Monnet12c1,047$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.374,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaff…5cb1backed Rebeka Masarova2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20420%0 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f2…4c29backed Carole Monnet14c999.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.998326.5%22 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+72.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Rebeka Masarova35c901.57$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.179052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Rebeka Masarova12c878.56$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7430040%120 W · 180 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Rebeka Masarova24c853.13$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7547651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Rebeka Masarova61c850$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.4574743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Rebeka Masarova24c844.79$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.7536154%195 W · 166 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Rebeka Masarova24c841.67$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20246957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Rebeka Masarova23c829.35$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7532952.3%172 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Rebeka Masarova24c803.13$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7529554.6%161 W · 134 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Rebeka Masarova50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeb6…32b5backed Rebeka Masarova24c773.96$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7531856%178 W · 140 L+19.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Rebeka Masarova12c770$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3348738.4%187 W · 300 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbab2…9decbacked Rebeka Masarova23c764.03$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7529151.9%151 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Carole Monnet50c704.22$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1124851.2%127 W · 121 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Carole Monnet60c669.09$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.094,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ad2…ec06backed Rebeka Masarova2c654.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.081747.1%8 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.29per pick18cpaid+114.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Carole Monnet38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37266831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed Carole Monnet60c600$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23811443.9%50 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Rebeka Masarova2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%0 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Carole Monnet48c507.24$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.7631237.8%118 W · 194 L-24.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Rebeka Masarova53c465.77$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.531,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Carole Monnet49c449.18$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.182,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Rebeka Masarova13c440.01$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.918241.5%34 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Carole Monnet50c422.14$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.0746155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Rebeka Masarova42c366.6$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.755,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Carole Monnet28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1442930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed Carole Monnet49c341.33$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1412746.5%59 W · 68 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Carole Monnet29c335.7$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.081,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Carole Monnet40c300.77$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.356,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Carole Monnet23c286.95$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9522939.3%90 W · 139 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c3…f740backed Rebeka Masarova78c276.74$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9717224.4%42 W · 130 L-16.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-53.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed Rebeka Masarova73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011765%76 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Rebeka Masarova45c273$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.962,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed Rebeka Masarova53c254.72$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13554955.2%303 W · 246 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Rebeka Masarova58c247.1$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8487741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x701c…b953backed Rebeka Masarova6c245$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147946.8%37 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Rebeka Masarova37c234.1$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7483823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Carole Monnet53c230.1$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.822,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Carole Monnet53c225.01$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.241,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Rebeka Masarova22c216.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.612,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0785…3540backed Carole Monnet66c200$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6910742.1%45 W · 62 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76c7…1ed0backed Carole Monnet70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Rebeka Masarova49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Carole Monnet50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42d…2202backed Carole Monnet47c196.28$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.413658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Rebeka Masarova75c195.51$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.632,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc28f…d02bbacked Carole Monnet35c194.89$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.686233.9%21 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Rebeka Masarova70c191$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.71,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Carole Monnet11c172.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3948214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Carole Monnet31c167.74$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.742,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Carole Monnet38c164.26$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.621,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Rebeka Masarova61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf816…0433backed Rebeka Masarova52c163.46$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852850%14 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Rebeka Masarova63c162.48$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8282958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba7…dd5abacked Carole Monnet27c159.26$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2617554.3%95 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3702…9b19backed Carole Monnet67c156.14$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.968444%37 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Rebeka Masarova22c152.43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.815,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Carole Monnet35c145.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.882,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Carole Monnet37c141.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.876,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd2…87f4backed Rebeka Masarova18c133$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4315838%60 W · 98 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e2c…359fbacked Carole Monnet41c131.58$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.639360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Carole Monnet57c128.49$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7752854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x010a…7084backed Rebeka Masarova43c127.91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed Rebeka Masarova11c125.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.489452.1%49 W · 45 L+11.5wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Carole Monnet28c114.29$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2930246.7%141 W · 161 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Rebeka Masarova56c101.3$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7317152.6%90 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a1…1c91backed Rebeka Masarova60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020360.1%122 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6994…fc1fbacked Rebeka Masarova55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510945.9%50 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Rebeka Masarova11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1113438.8%52 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Rebeka Masarova37c99.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.751,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…0d78backed Carole Monnet40c97.53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6310958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Rebeka Masarova57c92.84$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7322552%117 W · 108 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36a5…4a10backed Rebeka Masarova57c90.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.83321.2%7 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Carole Monnet27c89.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4624856.9%141 W · 107 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…5696backed Carole Monnet79c89.43$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7821688%190 W · 26 L+35.2wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+22.4%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Carole Monnet73c89$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0322662.8%142 W · 84 L+15.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x79e9…80b1backed Carole Monnet33c88.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3933228.3%94 W · 238 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.