TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,589,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,770,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,589,303 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa235…34bbbacked Over40c509,097$201,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,229.492524%6 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Under59c494,113$290,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203,941.645451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Under47c377,777$177,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199,952.368246.3%38 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Under58c374,591$218,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155,641.633354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over41c307,446$127,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127,574.8751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over41c247,467$101,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,401.044456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7583…4df2backed Over42c240,138$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,0002040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under61c195,842$119,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,653.2674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under58c180,000$104,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,599.9142345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Over40c168,363$68,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,0008521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over41c158,547$65,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,546.9317840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under48c123,020$59,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,564.2966846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under58c121,241$70,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,622.7132031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c110,575$67,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,785.384,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under59c97,060$56,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,242.2517447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under58c82,306$47,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,554.2713448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over42c78,113$32,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,929.231,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under50c69,757$35,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,583.4642541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under55c65,285$36,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,273.4328229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over0c59,541$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.611,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Over41c58,934$24,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,394.3513959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c56,593$24,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,648.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over55c54,000$29,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,83529633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d18…24a6backed Under59c50,000$29,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,5002466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Under58c49,139$28,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,452.896055%33 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Over41c48,485$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00011645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Under59c47,078$27,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,537.225745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b6…ca29backed Under59c46,010$26,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,094.152157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdef4…71e0backed Under59c44,695$26,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,511.69728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over55c43,399$23,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,743.0316947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed Over22c40,794$8,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,846.2511942.9%51 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under59c40,000$23,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,60027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Over55c40,000$21,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,9009451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecc…7850backed Over42c39,521$16,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,5003351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under50c37,889$18,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,963.52,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over42c36,132$14,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,994.9937223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Over57c35,000$19,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,84913725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Over55c30,537$16,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,866.536939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x996a…e3ccbacked Under59c30,000$17,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,374.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c29,973$14,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,233.083,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd104…acefbacked Under59c27,094$15,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,194.024436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over51c26,230$13,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,276.777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under62c25,110$15,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,667.3525844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over51c25,000$12,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,725.8925038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over4c24,976$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.4351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under59c24,376$14,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,116.012,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Over41c24,210$9,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,948.1810653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over6c21,657$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.551,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over42c20,000$8,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,35018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Over21c20,000$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,249.9910740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under58c19,600$11,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,182.8412255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over42c19,188$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.6121849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Under63c18,437$11,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,878.4810562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5f6…aba9backed Over41c17,149$7,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,031.082626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Over41c16,397$6,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,763.758639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over42c15,835$6,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,649.174034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Under59c15,385$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,384.6225336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Under59c15,000$8,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1505263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under58c15,000$8,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,237.426947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over41c14,711$5,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,997.6445428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e48…6144backed Under59c14,569$8,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,035.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Under59c14,000$8,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,74027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under58c13,350$7,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,606.7953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Over39c12,903$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Over40c12,500$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+86%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0277…1500backed Over41c12,195$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-55.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over41c12,188$5,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,057.074252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Over41c12,121$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under58c12,000$7,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,99010555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under46c11,744$5,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,283.3830626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb37…ba6bbacked Under62c11,351$7,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,341.592240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Over35c11,332$3,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,951.9521738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Over41c10,488$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3008835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Over41c10,000$4,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1256943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dd7…89aabacked Under59c10,000$5,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1253568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over36c9,753$3,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,541.3819329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over5c9,705$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.268032.5%26 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5165…872fbacked Over41c9,525$3,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9461546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under59c9,180$5,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,795.357452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Over41c8,888$3,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,621.8513163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under50c8,707$4,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,350.3917550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Under50c8,276$4,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,171.513223.5%31 W · 101 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under59c8,100$4,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.252475%18 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over42c8,051$3,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,381.4270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under59c8,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.9813746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Under58c7,676$4,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,204.827757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5978…a870backed Over0c7,672$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.93240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…f526backed Under61c7,633$4,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over49c7,568$3,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,723.941,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Under62c7,560$4,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,910.66056.7%34 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over40c7,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Under61c7,486$4,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900.791136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over26c7,272$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.5256541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Over42c7,143$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007729.9%23 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under59c7,000$4,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,896.51,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Over42c6,976$2,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,912.467225%18 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Under59c6,780$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,779.6610057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under52c6,747$3,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,242.9319649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x897b…a2b7backed Over56c6,705$3,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,761.84344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under59c6,699$3,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,766.311,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.