TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,193 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under24c2,485$596 inLost-$596.4483153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over76c2,358$1,792 inWon+$566.294,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Under24c1,471$347 inLost-$346.842231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over77c1,010$778 inWon+$232.319062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under21c815.63$172 inLost-$172.214323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under23c641.21$150 inLost-$150.3985851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over74c540$399 inWon+$140.8425643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc67c…5047backed Under25c533.24$135 inLost-$13512529.6%37 W · 88 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over75c417.29$314 inWon+$103.332,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed Over78c192.31$150 inWon+$42.318274.4%61 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf12a…3517backed Over77c179.22$138 inWon+$41.221346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over75c160$120 inWon+$401,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under26c151.39$39 inLost-$38.652,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4698…f0f1backed Over74c135.14$100 inWon+$35.145834.5%20 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd119…e58dbacked Under27c127.68$35 inLost-$358350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under26c108.97$28 inLost-$28.031,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over76c102.05$77 inWon+$24.748,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Under24c100.33$24 inLost-$24.081656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over79c95.05$75 inWon+$20.031,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a2…fc3ebacked Over78c90$70 inWon+$19.94667.4%31 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Over77c74.18$57 inWon+$17.0620427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274e…e53dbacked Under24c70$17 inLost-$16.83435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dcd…a764backed Over77c66.75$51 inWon+$15.351936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over77c66.65$51 inWon+$15.61,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e4a…6ae4backed Over76c65.79$50 inWon+$15.795560%33 W · 22 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e68…fcb9backed Over78c51.06$40 inWon+$11.334761.7%29 W · 18 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+116.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Over75c50.77$38 inWon+$12.8362633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over77c39.43$30 inWon+$9.072,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over76c37$28 inWon+$8.881,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over74c30.07$22 inWon+$7.882,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over76c28$21 inWon+$6.721,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over76c28$21 inWon+$6.721,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x872e…7a6bbacked Over77c25.97$20 inWon+$5.97683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Over75c20$15 inWon+$528251.4%145 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over76c20$15 inWon+$4.821,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over76c14$11 inWon+$3.3687237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.