TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$348,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$337,169

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under78c149,702$116,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,413.864,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over19c41,511$7,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,874.424,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6534…c10bbacked Over11c28,509$3,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,064.521010%1 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over22c28,373$6,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,109.912,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over37c12,737$4,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,705.0977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over21c11,111$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.3132029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over23c10,816$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.072,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over21c9,637$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,071.592,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over21c9,272$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.111,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over22c6,317$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.8515441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over21c5,983$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.642,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under74c5,154$3,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.923,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Over21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0507549.3%37 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Over21c4,488$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.389440.4%38 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under79c4,001$3,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.122,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over16c3,708$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.071,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under78c3,537$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.9526841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over28c3,194$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.421,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over17c3,177$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.0965737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under79c2,945$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.5438948.8%190 W · 199 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a1…30d1backed Over7c2,858$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.713562.9%22 W · 13 L+7.1wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+56.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under79c2,500$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.183,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under79c2,500$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.153,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over34c2,500$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.651,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over22c2,023$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.062,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over29c1,848$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.2417533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over19c1,686$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.1225643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over31c1,623$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.621,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over32c1,612$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.3565036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Over37c1,600$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5927146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over21c1,573$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.3140649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Under65c1,562$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8311044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over21c1,521$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.212,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under73c1,473$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.1798134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad8…f24bbacked Over21c1,429$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over29c1,408$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.2473536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over26c1,358$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.21,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e5…d3febacked Over38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002524%6 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+51.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over21c1,308$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.761,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over29c1,285$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.4787237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over22c1,173$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.41,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over16c1,013$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8250850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over21c999.62$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.929237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over21c997.85$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.551,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e6…384bbacked Over21c981.76$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.171442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over13c952.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2914323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over11c942.19$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.111,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over21c940.55$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7972722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over16c840$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13269826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Over21c800$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16824045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over21c795.83$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.528,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over32c794.08$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.582,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under63c750$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.2343145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over21c714.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under79c653.03$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.161,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over15c652.54$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.181,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf400…2f56backed Over36c599.98$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.993953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under79c512$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.521,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11032042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Over21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8948…28d5backed Over21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-75.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Over21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10528945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under79c476.83$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.995037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf663…5654backed Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over21c403.88$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.933,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4192…b396backed Over35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9163…b85dbacked Over22c395.93$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.151216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under78c389.98$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3897742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under70c387.89$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.781,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Under80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7525937.5%97 W · 162 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under77c324.28$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.691,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6367354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over21c289.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.791,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x326f…802dbacked Over24c287.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707714.3%11 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-58.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf89…6568backed Over14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404910.2%5 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bdb…92dbbacked Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005326.4%14 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76f…0dd7backed Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Over40c273.36$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8715325.5%39 W · 114 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x859f…0f26backed Over22c261.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.455538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3dc…ddd9backed Over22c246.95$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.23195.3%1 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick23cpaid-88.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under78c246$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1213351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1846…806abacked Over21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over10c236.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.475429.6%16 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under78c229.53$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.281,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x195c…fbc3backed Over22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad0d…4d09backed Over22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508839.8%35 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Over22c227$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9412848.4%62 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d6b…6da3backed Over19c215.79$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+225.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under78c212.14$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.431,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over21c210$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7832837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over27c203.69$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.32,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over21c201.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.269635.4%34 W · 62 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93df…7306backed Under70c198.91$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.286863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.