TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,123 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0bc2…077bbacked Under64c2,696$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.7317845.5%81 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under58c2,647$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.132,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under59c2,306$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.0118642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ad1…de9bbacked Under59c2,017$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.935269.2%36 W · 16 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee9f…f1b6backed Under14c2,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720450%2 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+254.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over41c1,471$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.1725643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd6…9efebacked Under14c1,200$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0321323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+72.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa782…cbafbacked Under18c938.76$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.179631.3%30 W · 66 L+12.4wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+93.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under57c835.74$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.3283153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under56c815.57$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.5965036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over41c799.16$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.062,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over37c787.78$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7688838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under71c710.27$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3887237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3d3…804bbacked Under63c700$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.59033.3%30 W · 60 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Over40c665$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26623540.4%95 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under57c656.59$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.091,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked Under18c600$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49210420.2%21 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over40c524.57$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8377845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over68c523.64$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.3875335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d7…ab14backed Over43c501$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e84…8e88backed Under77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1153946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over34c495.87$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.391,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over33c446.82$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.771,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over53c443$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.491,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Under60c435$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17412853.9%69 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over48c432$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.0417533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Under57c431.35$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.4818843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd30…6b15backed Under14c429.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.54per pick12cpaid+422.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over38c396.56$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.122,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over48c382.86$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.611,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7098…1d97backed Under54c361.24$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.644362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over35c348.97$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.781,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabad…f40bbacked Under58c336.48$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.324257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabea…72aebacked Under62c319.76$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.615740.4%23 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Over38c315.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022419.6%44 W · 180 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dad…ee77backed Under64c313.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1212832.8%42 W · 86 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x306b…179ebacked Over37c310$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.75549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c80…6ff1backed Over42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12628439.1%111 W · 173 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over43c253.39$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.962,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over74c252.71$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.181,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over32c239.53$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6527255.9%152 W · 120 L+36.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over43c234.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc537…f4d0backed Over38c231.58$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993c…2aecbacked Under15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1705616.1%9 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Under59c169.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.542147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4698…f0f1backed Over38c168.42$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645834.5%20 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over42c164$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.881,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a1d…78d4backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over41c133$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.322,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under15c126.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5511114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under20c125.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.62,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x631e…c145backed Over38c119.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.212218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under41c119$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.21,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under76c114.34$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.834,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…9491backed Over42c114.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under18c101.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3814323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under78c93.16$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7975729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Over43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409734%33 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Over41c82.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3262633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over37c78.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.811,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaea…95a9backed Over38c76.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2921022.4%47 W · 163 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd119…e58dbacked Under60c66.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.148350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9263…9872backed Under79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.291650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under61c54.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.498,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b38…2bbfbacked Over63c50.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9110450%52 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf6…2289backed Over39c50.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.66580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Over63c50.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.919045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a6…c7cebacked Over63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over41c42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.221,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f1…478bbacked Over43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.212948.8%63 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over38c38.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.573412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x5e01…d083backed Under53c37.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0db9…a4a8backed Over43c33.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.69355.7%2 W · 33 L-16.1wins-0.46per pick52cpaid-91.8%equal weight20-0.27 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Under58c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5816647%78 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under57c30.44$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0918543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under58c29.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.223,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1d4…a063backed Over46c24.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.094450%22 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under58c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.242931%9 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3605…e7cbbacked Under73c21.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.922369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under58c21.73$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2229556.6%167 W · 128 L+19.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d76…517cbacked Under73c20.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.441250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Under57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.613850%69 W · 69 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0d0…292dbacked Under58c19.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42564%16 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under58c17.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.324947.4%118 W · 131 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8608…56babacked Under71c15.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.