TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf0d0…292d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2564%16 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.29
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.05
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$7.63
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.02
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$8.72
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.72
Norway vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Norway vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.48
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$9.81
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$9.38
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.02
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLB All-Star Gamebacked National League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Swiss Open: Alexandre Muller vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Rome: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Federica Urgesibacked Federica Urgesi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$6.54
Rome: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Elizara Yanevabacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$30.75
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 8 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.