TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago White Soxof Athletics, Chicago White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$781,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$836,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $781,306 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 345 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Chicago White Sox61c160,024$97,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,409.5246949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Chicago White Sox61c154,098$93,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,842.915276.9%40 W · 12 L+11.8wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+45.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Athletics36c116,185$41,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,891.2210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics39c74,143$28,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,915.824,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Chicago White Sox63c54,054$34,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00026056.9%148 W · 112 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Chicago White Sox64c47,777$30,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,233.011,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Athletics41c42,340$17,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,359.257755.8%43 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Athletics39c29,432$11,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,510.093,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics38c28,395$10,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,823.272,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Athletics38c21,573$8,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,221.321,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago White Sox67c21,424$14,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,069.843554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Chicago White Sox62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,60048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Athletics0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics42c18,517$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7771,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox72c16,926$12,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,737.624,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Chicago White Sox59c15,000$8,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,15077053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics39c12,437$4,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,865.94,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Chicago White Sox62c12,000$7,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,56048451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Chicago White Sox59c10,836$6,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,442.7671650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Athletics0c10,283$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.136523.1%15 W · 50 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Athletics38c7,623$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,927.626844.1%30 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Athletics22c7,551$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.718,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Athletics37c7,027$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60011548.7%56 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox62c7,017$4,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,694.6511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics0c6,910$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.038762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…3992backed Chicago White Sox63c6,757$4,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50015659%92 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Athletics35c6,089$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.141,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Athletics40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9844749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Chicago White Sox66c5,837$3,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.719453.6%104 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5674…2ff4backed Chicago White Sox63c5,405$3,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00012759.8%76 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Athletics25c5,268$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.7995045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Athletics39c5,053$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.0451545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics40c4,432$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.715,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Chicago White Sox63c4,399$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.771172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+65.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago White Sox62c4,248$2,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.942,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…3aaebacked Chicago White Sox63c4,054$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50012759.1%75 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Athletics39c3,846$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50049158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletics39c3,592$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.816,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Chicago White Sox64c3,533$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.7644945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Athletics38c3,500$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33014938.3%57 W · 92 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics2c3,250$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.041,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Chicago White Sox65c3,201$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.4348147%226 W · 255 L-31.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb5…d57abacked Athletics39c3,079$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.8121644.9%97 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics18c3,071$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.231,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox72c3,017$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.161,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Athletics37c2,960$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0869848%47 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Athletics5c2,794$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8560043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics14c2,498$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.988,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Chicago White Sox62c2,495$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.119951.8%103 W · 96 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Athletics32c2,437$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.772,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Athletics38c2,348$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90064452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago White Sox60c2,222$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.81,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Chicago White Sox58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8407852.6%41 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Athletics41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82011347.8%54 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Athletics35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Athletics33c1,955$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.2891252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Chicago White Sox62c1,918$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.848856.8%50 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd599…c994backed Chicago White Sox66c1,716$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.661872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd69a…d57fbacked Chicago White Sox62c1,700$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6462365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Chicago White Sox63c1,621$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.774654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Athletics40c1,607$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.9651547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Athletics8c1,436$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0412024.2%29 W · 91 L-11.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-40.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Athletics40c1,412$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.81,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago White Sox63c1,386$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.8255653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Athletics39c1,379$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.3445045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50098149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Athletics41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago White Sox64c1,106$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.561,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Athletics38c1,078$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4599624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5a5…6f1fbacked Chicago White Sox59c1,018$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Chicago White Sox60c1,010$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40417348%83 W · 90 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Athletics38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38016848.2%81 W · 87 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Chicago White Sox59c999.98$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.9929046.6%135 W · 155 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago White Sox60c950.09$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.5492046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Athletics38c894.99$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.081,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8992…ed1fbacked Athletics38c836.77$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.871435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics39c767.99$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.132,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Athletics40c750$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.1729752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e2f…0040backed Athletics36c712.1$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.1812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-77.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Athletics35c699.08$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.681216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-59.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Chicago White Sox80c695.58$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3752955.6%294 W · 235 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed Chicago White Sox59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.977564%48 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago White Sox62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1634756.5%196 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Chicago White Sox63c634.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.927444.6%33 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3050…1a35backed Chicago White Sox63c616.65$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.167154.9%39 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Athletics37c607.27$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7621033.3%70 W · 140 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago White Sox64c585.94$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.941,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d98…fe98backed Chicago White Sox64c551.05$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.058155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Chicago White Sox59c510$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.126948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Athletics38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19030647.4%145 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb035…d7cdbacked Athletics42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014141.8%59 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Athletics10c463.27$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5554945.4%249 W · 300 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Chicago White Sox60c405.44$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4421853.2%116 W · 102 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Chicago White Sox63c403.96$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.461662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Athletics40c390$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.271,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics39c373.33$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.023,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Athletics8c360$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.271850.1%360 W · 358 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Athletics3c359.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7937032.7%121 W · 249 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Chicago White Sox64c355$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.81,29950.9%661 W · 638 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Chicago White Sox63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4681257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.