MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ab0a11e14efc6ea53020ca2193495156419aa5921e3eb8a9650169fdb92923b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Chicago White Sox, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Chicago White Sox | 46c | 53,757$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,257.19 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 55c | 8,891$4,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,890.05 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 54c | 7,914$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,273.73 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 55c | 6,711$3,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,691 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Athletics | 54c | 5,575$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.26 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Athletics | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Athletics | 54c | 2,686$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.37 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 54c | 2,502$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.42 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…7850backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 2,015$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.04 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 55c | 1,819$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.97 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Athletics | 56c | 1,605$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.53 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Athletics | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Athletics | 56c | 982.14$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Athletics | 55c | 930.88$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.98 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Athletics | 55c | 899.12$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.43 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Athletics | 56c | 869.64$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Athletics | 56c | 869.41$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.87 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Athletics | 55c | 780.34$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.19 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Athletics | 54c | 778$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.12 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 54c | 776.47$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.81 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics | 55c | 733.99$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.78 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Athletics | 57c | 650$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Athletics | 54c | 552.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.01 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 360$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Athletics | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Athletics | 55c | 272.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Athletics | 54c | 237.39$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Athletics | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 179.66$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Athletics | 56c | 179$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Athletics | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Athletics | 54c | 176$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 164.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 154$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 154$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Athletics | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Athletics | 54c | 124.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics | 61c | 108.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 98.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 54c | 95.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Athletics | 56c | 90.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…5ccabacked Athletics | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 81.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 80.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Athletics | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Athletics | 56c | 67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29f…dc4ebacked Athletics | 56c | 65.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Athletics | 56c | 58.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 58.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 53.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Athletics | 56c | 52.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Athletics | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Athletics | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Athletics | 53c | 39.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 43c | 38.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Athletics | 55c | 35.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Athletics | 54c | 35.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0405…2491backed Athletics | 56c | 32.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Athletics | 34c | 31.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Athletics | 55c | 31.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Athletics | 55c | 28.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Athletics | 56c | 25.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Athletics | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Athletics | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Athletics | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Athletics | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)this page
- Athletics vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.