MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66af3906643acee485f9b2976ee13a4be9fb648ee84249f5ebd7165ece3b8a5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $377,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $372,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 50c | 343,274$170,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170,381.48 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 50c | 240,000$120,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,000 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 27,226$13,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,524.07 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 52c | 25,080$13,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,038.4 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Over | 52c | 11,371$5,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,457.94 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…1a91backed Over | 53c | 9,134$4,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,292.96 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 22c | 7,602$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,964.97 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 46c | 6,593$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.58 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 6,127$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.13 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 5,107$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 4,821$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.47 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 4,404$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.96 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 51c | 2,700$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 51c | 2,048$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.52 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 1,965$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.85 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 52c | 1,546$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.36 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 51c | 1,318$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.82 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 1,165$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 52c | 1,165$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.98 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 21c | 957.88$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.35 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 551.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.34 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 522.25$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.61 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked Over | 26c | 409.46$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.1 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 49c | 374.16$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.82 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 51c | 299$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.01 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 51c | 294.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.11 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 23c | 280.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.23 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 263$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 54c | 250.48$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.23 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 51c | 249$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 214.77$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 48c | 195.63$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 45c | 193.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Over | 54c | 174.44$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 47c | 159$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Under | 57c | 143.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 53c | 141$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 56c | 126.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 63c | 98.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 54c | 96.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Over | 37c | 93.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 33c | 92.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 59c | 89.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 51c | 86.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 51c | 84.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 74.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 45c | 73.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 27c | 70.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Over | 50c | 70.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…eae9backed Under | 48c | 62.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b4…31e4backed Under | 49c | 61.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a9…ac11backed Over | 33c | 61.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 44c | 61.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 57c | 58.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 21c | 54.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…28f3backed Under | 45c | 54.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Under | 59c | 51.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 45c | 48.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Over | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 63c | 44.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 42.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Under | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Under | 48c | 38.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3b…583bbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 46c | 33.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 54c | 32.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…8593backed Under | 50c | 31.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked Over | 51c | 29.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Over | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Over | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 51c | 20.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 60c | 19.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 61c | 16.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Athletics vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.