TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,396 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over58c112,454$65,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,216.8948148.6%234 W · 247 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under42c100,000$42,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,00044446.8%208 W · 236 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Over48c9,744$4,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,677.3349051%250 W · 240 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under46c8,070$3,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,357.9679247.5%376 W · 416 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c7,751$3,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,756.0810,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Over54c3,200$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.998943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under45c2,520$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.912,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over54c2,492$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.511,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under46c2,186$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.443,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under53c2,105$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.564,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c2,000$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.885,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under45c1,985$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.4964752.4%339 W · 308 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over45c1,506$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.698,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81087453%463 W · 411 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x056b…303ebacked Under52c1,346$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.152544%11 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under43c1,000$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57530652%159 W · 147 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over53c950.94$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50436648.9%179 W · 187 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Over54c930.58$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.512860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under44c858.53$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.918,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over55c815.87$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.7361450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c764.41$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.5212,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c685.59$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.936,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under42c522.76$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.154,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Over54c509.26$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27513438.8%52 W · 82 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb1c…0be3backed Over56c419.64$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2356145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under42c404.5$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.0652045.2%235 W · 285 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23246048.5%223 W · 237 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under42c390$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.21,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over55c382$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.11,53848.6%747 W · 791 L-5.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.1413345.9%61 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under42c353.54$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.892,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd58d…c2d6backed Over58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015149.7%75 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Over58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022149.3%109 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8766…4171backed Under42c253$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7414351.7%74 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Under44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.273458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under45c200$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11199947.5%475 W · 524 L-3.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under45c192.4$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.781,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under42c180$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.41,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over58c172$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7610251%52 W · 50 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c160$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.82,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under51c156.73$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.887552.7%461 W · 414 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under45c142$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.246,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over53c141$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7529549.8%147 W · 148 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over11c122.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.438,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over49c120.39$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.995,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Under46c114.41$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7817047.1%80 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under44c111.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.172,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under44c105$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.853950.6%273 W · 266 L+16.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.52,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5621449.5%106 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5755146.8%258 W · 293 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under43c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.652852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Under42c79.24$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6419542.6%83 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under46c71.76$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.753,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Under45c67.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.468846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f11…749dbacked Under45c63.87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.132634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over46c62.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.42,17239.9%866 W · 1,306 L+1.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2247646.2%220 W · 256 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.873849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.41,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over55c59.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.846,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Under44c57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9228147.7%134 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under45c55.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.331,82854.1%989 W · 839 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over54c54.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1657548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under59c53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7331848.7%155 W · 163 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under49c51.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9315349%75 W · 78 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.52,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.529242.5%124 W · 168 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under43c49.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.495054%27 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over55c46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.325748.2%124 W · 133 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3ad9…fc71backed Over54c45.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.47520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6986…3369backed Over53c44.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5124547.3%116 W · 129 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Under59c43.88$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1688046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Under42c43.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.337846.2%36 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…a79abacked Under44c36.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.218744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x409d…8f47backed Under42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7111050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a62…5247backed Under45c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2514047.9%67 W · 73 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed Under44c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.043145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under54c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.744,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Under43c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.389255.4%51 W · 41 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under44c29.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3613054.6%71 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd32d…4e60backed Under48c29.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.171338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed Over57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157644.7%34 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123750.6%120 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0d0…292dbacked Over57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over54c18.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1644648.7%217 W · 229 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Over54c18.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0246946.3%217 W · 252 L-25.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over62c16.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.415,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.