MLB · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ac210a81cffd6d079c8062d335cfbe00b351bd721a97e9f07e6766104482d20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 7,963$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,538.86 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 3,991$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.53 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 3,054$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.99 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 2,837$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.23 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 1c | 2,834$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 2,605$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.35 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 1,091$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.82 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 800$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 748.95$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.84 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 517.81$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.82 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 348.45$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.04 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 318.42$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 240.79$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 205.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 74c | 159.17$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 151.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 231 | 66.7%154 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 131$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 119.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 103.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 87.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 86.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 85.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 246 | 44.7%110 W · 136 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 71.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 70.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 70.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 467 | 59.7%279 W · 188 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 62.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 62.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 52.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 41.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Minnesota Twins | 79c | 36.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 29.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 453 | 58.7%266 W · 187 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 25.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 20.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 17.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,481 | 63.5%940 W · 541 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota TwinsMinnesota Twins won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.