TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sinnerof Sinner, Djokovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$287,810
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$303,297

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,810 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc430…1ebfbacked Sinner37c52,169$19,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,869.853839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Sinner39c41,163$15,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,271.611136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac57…ffcbbacked Djokovic63c31,746$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Djokovic48c27,814$13,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,40074439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Djokovic31c26,137$8,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,229.2457939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Sinner38c24,000$9,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,967.3252844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Djokovic63c22,500$14,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,07521743.8%95 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Djokovic62c20,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,499.981546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Sinner51c19,437$9,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,523.91,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Sinner76c15,440$11,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,766.1614264.8%92 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f6…8993backed Djokovic61c13,467$8,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,214.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-66.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x060f…5a9dbacked Sinner59c12,934$7,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,335.127672.4%55 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…15ffbacked Djokovic64c11,570$7,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,399.122347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Djokovic60c10,253$6,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,201.654,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Djokovic65c9,500$6,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1753345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Sinner36c9,176$3,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,871.2413025.4%33 W · 97 L-13.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Sinner38c8,568$3,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,312.4417746.3%82 W · 95 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Djokovic61c8,000$4,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,879.9927460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Djokovic65c7,692$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00024631.3%77 W · 169 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Djokovic31c7,199$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,231.2411637.1%43 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9217…ce22backed Djokovic62c7,110$4,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,408.434652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Sinner35c6,162$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,005.11,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Djokovic62c6,144$3,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,829.4672452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Sinner57c5,300$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,27934047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Sinner35c4,838$1,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,144.64,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Sinner37c4,028$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.542060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Djokovic61c3,199$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96479855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Sinner36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92016636.7%61 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Djokovic50c2,672$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3404431.8%14 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked Sinner35c2,516$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6355339.6%21 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa06a…d284backed Djokovic40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005549.1%27 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc36…53c3backed Djokovic61c2,283$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.4712849.2%63 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Djokovic36c2,018$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.326036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Djokovic62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24028747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdad5…4990backed Djokovic53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Djokovic34c1,848$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.212,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Djokovic14c1,755$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.0215541.9%65 W · 90 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb289…f2fcbacked Djokovic65c1,661$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Djokovic22c1,540$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+79.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sinner38c1,438$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.039,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92aa…e281backed Sinner39c1,403$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.561145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Djokovic61c1,312$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.09650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Sinner55c1,284$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.4135955.7%200 W · 159 L+20.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa584…f829backed Djokovic65c1,262$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.481926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0705…b7ddbacked Sinner38c1,211$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+61.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd689…6ec7backed Sinner55c1,210$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.51643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Sinner64c1,162$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.6660053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sinner37c1,081$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.212,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Sinner38c1,073$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.9172638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00c…dfa2backed Sinner38c1,053$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.639951.5%51 W · 48 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Sinner58c943.23$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.581,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Sinner35c941.91$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.243740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd50b…2f40backed Djokovic68c918.04$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211450%7 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sinner35c869.62$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.567,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Sinner39c869.18$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.21,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf719…987abacked Sinner47c787.81$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x536d…07fdbacked Djokovic63c773.9$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.5610456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Sinner79c747.51$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0829443.5%128 W · 166 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Djokovic63c719.77$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.223948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Sinner45c696.23$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3811,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Djokovic63c670$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.88334.9%29 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Sinner42c668.06$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.662,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Djokovic62c632.37$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.074944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Djokovic40c619.98$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.793132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Sinner36c600$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3847,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Sinner33c554.99$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.8428947.8%138 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Djokovic63c500.24$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.1585250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Djokovic63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Sinner52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2405761.4%35 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Djokovic68c482.99$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.5510348.5%50 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed Sinner55c480.2$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.091963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x729d…d851backed Sinner55c478.91$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2fb…8931backed Djokovic69c456.77$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.63714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-76.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Djokovic62c455.66$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.5113852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Sinner30c450$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3134934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Sinner45c446.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.7426263%165 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f4…82ebbacked Djokovic63c444.44$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2808140.7%33 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Sinner37c434.29$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.742,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Sinner37c414.3$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.0110656.6%60 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Sinner32c410$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.867144.7%300 W · 371 L+30.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8fb…c3cabacked Sinner56c401.79$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.794671.7%33 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Djokovic63c393.67$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.01922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Sinner39c380$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2338241.5%34 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Djokovic63c372.6$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.061,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x825e…2a99backed Djokovic63c347.14$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.72268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Djokovic61c344.39$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0833442.5%142 W · 192 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Sinner67c343.28$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.287851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Sinner38c330$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.148738.4%187 W · 300 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08cd…f35fbacked Djokovic63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec6…7566backed Djokovic62c310$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.22657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Djokovic62c305.81$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.665157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb5…6fe9backed Sinner36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1922240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Djokovic60c282.23$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1697041.4%29 W · 41 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Sinner37c262.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5760342%253 W · 350 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ec…0931backed Sinner39c256.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Sinner39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4110453.8%56 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Djokovic74c254.42$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Sinner58c251.59$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.672657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb163…3d0ebacked Djokovic60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Djokovic42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.