TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Sinner vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,695 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c16,246$7,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,685.54,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over54c14,410$7,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,722.519764.9%63 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under47c9,715$4,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,148.891,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under48c9,664$4,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,025.451,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over52c8,500$4,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,419.993345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6111…4742backed Over53c8,000$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,24020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdad5…4990backed Over52c6,000$3,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.371435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over53c5,114$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.671,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under47c5,063$2,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,683.5310751.4%55 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Under49c3,386$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.813025.4%33 W · 97 L-13.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under46c2,692$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.524,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79bd…5c31backed Under51c1,967$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.341973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+57.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf3b0…d5d8backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under49c1,580$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.856,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over55c1,317$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.495756.1%32 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over49c1,245$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.9932333.7%109 W · 214 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over52c1,156$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60030948.9%151 W · 158 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Over51c1,071$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5464639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Over53c1,044$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.0870041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x056b…303ebacked Under48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.672951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52028141.6%117 W · 164 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c983.55$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.283,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Over55c909.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50031146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe48d…a64dbacked Over55c909.18$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff5a…af9fbacked Over53c841.13$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.64934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x983f…eb31backed Over53c735.09$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.551233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-45.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under45c685.16$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.754,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under48c671.97$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.4252152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under48c653.92$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.0449252.4%258 W · 234 L+28.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under48c625.02$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.011,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c609$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.837,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Under49c599.99$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3067,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027151.3%139 W · 132 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1700…3760backed Over53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under45c525.18$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.853,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabea…72aebacked Over52c494.46$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.121428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under44c400$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2234,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2125561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcec6…7566backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Over51c383.12$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3925948.6%126 W · 133 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over55c382.91$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0592352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b52…8ceebacked Over51c380.39$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1942748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under52c348.23$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.211,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Under48c315.38$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16420846.2%96 W · 112 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under44c282.37$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.031,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over54c278.54$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0939451.3%202 W · 192 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over19c274.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.991,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Under48c252.5$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.32,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46b1…428cbacked Over21c244.89$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under42c241.63$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.869,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over53c240$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.352,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over53c239.33$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0373951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under48c231.9$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4945751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2279646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over53c213.85$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.061,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1144548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under64c198.61$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.227,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x776f…32b7backed Over52c192.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Under50c192.26$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1310540%42 W · 63 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Over51c189.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9734047.6%162 W · 178 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed Under48c187.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.981250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over51c181.83$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.584,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f9…3dcabacked Over55c180.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.799643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over53c180$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.951,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over46c163.75$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1174547.4%353 W · 392 L-28.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8544…94d6backed Under51c157.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.823641.7%15 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Over53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.531749.5%157 W · 160 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Over46c147.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9192046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under48c144.43$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.769351.6%48 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Over53c141.34$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9114150.4%71 W · 70 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Under44c137$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.722,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under48c131.36$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3147251.3%242 W · 230 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under43c123.8$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.42,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Under48c112.79$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6590152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Under46c110$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.435641.3%147 W · 209 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over49c108.93$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3842141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1778857.1%450 W · 338 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b2…caaabacked Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-67.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked Under48c97.06$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4727748.7%135 W · 142 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c95.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.612,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2815…7f0cbacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-42%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Over53c92.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.01366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda8a…2dbabacked Over51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.910252.9%54 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over40c87.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.914658.7%27 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Over15c85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7522123.1%51 W · 170 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under48c85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5972638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under49c72.93$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.21,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under49c71.23$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3352847%248 W · 280 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Under48c70.83$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8344051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Over52c68.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.667554.7%41 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under48c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2881255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffa3…08f0backed Over53c50.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.011275%9 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+78%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.538947.3%184 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2713…43b2backed Over53c45.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under48c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.41,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb37b…ac33backed Under45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Under48c43.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7914547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.