Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x729538f31907b3792ce1cb4f78610e2829eb7f0cde9ffe4e4d5f515cc39cedd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Sinner, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Djokovic | 35c | 1,928$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.13 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Sinner | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Djokovic | 47c | 1,496$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.91 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Djokovic | 36c | 1,051$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…43f9backed Djokovic | 38c | 866.08$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Sinner | 67c | 855.53$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.05 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…7ce9backed Sinner | 64c | 799.98$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.99 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sinner | 70c | 796.78$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Sinner | 64c | 703.13$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.13 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Djokovic | 4c | 499.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…a77cbacked Djokovic | 36c | 394.03$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Djokovic | 31c | 277.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…6a3bbacked Sinner | 57c | 241.56$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Sinner | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Djokovic | 28c | 210.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Sinner | 73c | 204.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Sinner | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…f4a3backed Djokovic | 25c | 197.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…6bf6backed Djokovic | 35c | 188.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Sinner | 59c | 188$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Sinner | 78c | 164.26$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa39c…6e80backed Djokovic | 14c | 152.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Sinner | 57c | 95.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a7…a216backed Sinner | 64c | 84.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…b0ccbacked Djokovic | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Sinner | 61c | 55.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba1…3820backed Sinner | 70c | 52.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8b…3b0ebacked Sinner | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Sinner | 73c | 49.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Sinner | 63c | 47.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…0e5bbacked Sinner | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2a…24adbacked Sinner | 79c | 25.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Sinner | 61c | 20.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sinner | 68c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs Djokovicthis page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs DjokovicSinner won
- Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs DjokovicSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)Sinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)Sinner won
- Sinner vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak DjokovicJannik Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.