TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Under 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,456 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over 3.559c10,764$6,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,350.473345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under 3.542c6,696$2,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,883.655223.1%12 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under 3.541c5,673$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,347.012030%6 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Over 3.558c5,261$3,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,051.323441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f90…90ccbacked Under 3.541c4,878$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.053951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Under 3.540c3,667$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.623839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over 3.559c3,534$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10027151.3%139 W · 132 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under 3.541c3,303$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.9592237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Over 3.560c2,740$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.37837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Under 3.539c2,074$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.713036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over 3.542c2,000$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83025144.6%112 W · 139 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under 3.539c1,578$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.252,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc00…7f4bbacked Under 3.558c1,444$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.521758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over 3.562c1,427$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.2530948.9%151 W · 158 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Over 3.550c1,350$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67574743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x320d…f4ebbacked Over 3.561c1,264$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.8128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f16…701dbacked Over 3.559c1,184$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007938%30 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…7cdbbacked Over 3.550c1,139$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.635738.6%22 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over 3.515c1,120$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Over 3.518c997.95$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17530647.7%146 W · 160 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under 3.550c918.74$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.049,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2cf…8c5ebacked Under 3.541c846.33$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a5…4a10backed Over 3.512c845$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003321.2%7 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Over 3.532c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012053.3%64 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under 3.553c757.87$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.8713852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6727…231dbacked Under 3.539c671.99$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Under 3.539c600$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.647,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed Under 3.578c574.38$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.876841.2%28 W · 40 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x624d…ff0abacked Over 3.561c573.77$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc83…fdd4backed Under 3.550c560.52$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.312462.5%15 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+58.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under 3.539c537.26$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.734860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Over 3.561c506.35$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.8749447.2%233 W · 261 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Over 3.560c501.8$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.916553.9%89 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x417f…d9a9backed Over 3.545c468.6$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Under 3.560c457.44$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.9835955.7%200 W · 159 L+20.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over 3.556c451.13$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6310751.4%55 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1666…00e2backed Over 3.561c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Under 3.538c399.96$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.9836435.2%128 W · 236 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Under 3.542c399.29$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.315034%17 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under 3.549c398.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.894,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d5…9290backed Over 3.560c396.87$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Under 3.539c383.76$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.093644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bfd…fb46backed Under 3.544c383.48$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Over 3.560c374.88$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9391754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under 3.541c330$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.7272638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f9…3dcabacked Over 3.539c307.23$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.359643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec6…7566backed Over 3.560c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c74…5383backed Over 3.548c299.99$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1435339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c92…9627backed Over 3.561c295.08$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-65.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over 3.562c291.34$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.632,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over 3.563c282.54$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1784052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Under 3.539c271.79$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7913262.9%83 W · 49 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61b7…378dbacked Under 3.539c250.53$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Over 3.560c247.5$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.565942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over 3.558c244.07$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.567041.4%29 W · 41 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over 3.549c242.43$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7911637.1%43 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471b…0f1abacked Over 3.559c239.98$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.593735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ea…ea62backed Over 3.561c205$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.056844.1%30 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over 3.558c204.63$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.687,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over 3.558c204.29$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4965157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…b519backed Over 3.550c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5d3…6b98backed Under 3.539c199.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.992850%14 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa1…a37bbacked Over 3.561c196.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1b4…64d7backed Over 3.559c184.49$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under 3.551c172.55$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5513948.2%67 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b75…6679backed Over 3.558c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5896…49aebacked Over 3.561c170.95$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under 3.537c167.92$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.791,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfbf…39e1backed Over 3.560c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Under 3.539c166.25$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.411838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Over 3.561c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe13c…1159backed Under 3.541c147.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.119558.9%56 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b9…543ebacked Over 3.510c146.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d5b…6c2abacked Under 3.538c133.87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaeb…c2d0backed Under 3.539c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Under 3.540c124.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.991625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over 3.558c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.638446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Under 3.539c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6111244.6%50 W · 62 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under 3.550c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc24f…087fbacked Over 3.559c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over 3.556c99.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9917857.3%102 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ad…1caabacked Over 3.517c99.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over 3.558c97.53$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5790152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad3f…a377backed Over 3.561c97.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.44839.6%19 W · 29 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-33%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over 3.530c96.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.311,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Under 3.553c94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.11,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2874…9fd7backed Over 3.561c93.44$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6af…c64abacked Over 3.559c93.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Under 3.561c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.972236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x795b…505ebacked Over 3.561c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503050%15 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Under 3.561c81.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb330…5db0backed Over 3.522c81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7322…9f57backed Over 3.562c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over 3.561c80$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.538947.3%184 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef3a…ad2fbacked Under 3.541c75.38$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.631060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Under 3.560c71.67$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6744051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a2…deacbacked Under 3.551c69.88$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.245172.5%37 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Over 3.558c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018258.8%107 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over 3.554c68.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.886,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eaa…80dbbacked Over 3.552c67.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1510742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.