TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sinnerof Sinner, Djokovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,835

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,722 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d18…24a6backed Sinner67c13,803$9,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,555.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Sinner68c12,030$8,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,902.621,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Djokovic8c11,693$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.7126355.1%145 W · 118 L+36.9wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Sinner70c10,909$7,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,272.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Djokovic33c10,048$3,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3164431.8%14 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Sinner69c10,000$6,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,086.221136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Djokovic30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00024631.3%77 W · 169 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Djokovic31c8,000$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.993345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Sinner70c7,640$5,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.932060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Djokovic31c6,718$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.4857939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Djokovic30c5,911$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.294,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e83…b22fbacked Sinner67c5,896$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.522630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Djokovic33c5,798$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.2613025.4%33 W · 97 L-13.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Djokovic33c5,350$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.1258232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Sinner69c4,928$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.6813852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Djokovic33c3,641$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.482,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Sinner69c3,517$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.252,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Djokovic31c3,504$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.241,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94e4…2943backed Sinner76c3,311$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e88…b235backed Sinner69c3,049$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.558757.5%50 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Djokovic31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9305429.6%16 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Djokovic33c2,143$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.2742341.4%175 W · 248 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Djokovic31c1,770$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.8848842%205 W · 283 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Djokovic30c1,724$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.2243743.7%191 W · 246 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Sinner69c1,704$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.1830847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Djokovic29c1,681$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.871,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92aa…e281backed Sinner71c1,643$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.371145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Djokovic32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48029146%134 W · 157 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Djokovic31c1,480$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.754949%24 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00c…dfa2backed Sinner69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.289951.5%51 W · 48 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c5d…6fcabacked Djokovic31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd8f…761dbacked Sinner69c1,004$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Djokovic29c999.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29028141.6%117 W · 164 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Djokovic31c967.15$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.974,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Sinner68c863.35$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2752661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Sinner71c830.28$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.784757.4%27 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Sinner66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5894068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Djokovic31c729.66$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.327,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Sinner70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.291,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Djokovic30c686$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.0572638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x631a…a80fbacked Djokovic32c604.51$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1954551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Djokovic32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19267144.7%300 W · 371 L+30.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Djokovic33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1987,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Djokovic32c514.71$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1657742.9%33 W · 44 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+40%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Djokovic37c504.49$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.472,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Djokovic30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15036435.2%128 W · 236 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c4…c777backed Sinner68c497.06$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.062347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Djokovic33c493.42$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8385250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Djokovic32c435.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.31,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Djokovic33c424.24$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Djokovic33c420.74$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.161,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Djokovic25c415.98$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.019,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb214…0396backed Sinner62c391.94$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.94785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick62cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Djokovic26c383$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.94,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Djokovic31c367$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7724051.3%123 W · 117 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac36…b1e1backed Sinner69c350$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.513245.5%60 W · 72 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Djokovic38c345$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.132333.7%109 W · 214 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Djokovic33c305$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.655250%26 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b9…50dcbacked Sinner66c269.05$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.05850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1a4…9779backed Sinner68c256.61$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.612785.2%23 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Djokovic33c226.47$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757041.4%29 W · 41 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8807…d08abacked Sinner68c224.12$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37cc…f862backed Djokovic32c214.22$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.552441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Sinner71c212.9$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2235360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd03…60fbbacked Djokovic23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe092…d209backed Djokovic33c200$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6719142.4%81 W · 110 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Djokovic27c180$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.61,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x062c…24d5backed Djokovic31c174.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.357529.3%22 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Djokovic32c161.75$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7642934.7%149 W · 280 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b75…6679backed Djokovic31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Djokovic33c144.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6148242.5%205 W · 277 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Djokovic34c144.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4958931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Djokovic31c136.7$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3845751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Djokovic33c136.62$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.62,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf025…48f8backed Sinner74c136.04$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.723658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc875…ff98backed Sinner65c123.08$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.081346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Djokovic31c119.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1847251.3%242 W · 230 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x929a…ccbbbacked Sinner68c116.43$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Djokovic45c116$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.210348.5%50 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5645…658bbacked Sinner69c115.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc6…0f52backed Sinner68c110.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.293161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…009fbacked Djokovic32c103.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3313334.6%46 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Djokovic30c103.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Sinner55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d9…c160backed Djokovic31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Djokovic34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3436161.8%223 W · 138 L+41.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaa52…3607backed Sinner64c99.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366460.9%39 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Sinner63c99.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3711253.6%60 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Djokovic32c94.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3039469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Djokovic33c87.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0320655.3%114 W · 92 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Djokovic29c85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6535641.3%147 W · 209 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b6…e8babacked Djokovic18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b92…afe9backed Djokovic37c83.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a19…ad3abacked Sinner71c81.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.693366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5b…31fcbacked Djokovic30c79.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Djokovic33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Djokovic34c75.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.234,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f0…f306backed Sinner69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Djokovic31c70.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2244051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…6ababacked Djokovic26c70.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.462626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.