Tennis · resolved market
Sinner vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf712ce337fc0bd3950530d7d4bf463208bd00a5270646f26e6c8a495ac056d12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 8,517$4,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,054.71 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 47c | 8,306$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdad5…4990backed Over | 59c | 5,000$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.02 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 2,679$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.71 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 40c | 2,407$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.86 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f39…f8f2backed Over | 61c | 1,636$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 58c | 1,370$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 40c | 755.09$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.6 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 41c | 683$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.97 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 44c | 619.92$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.15 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 38c | 575.51$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.19 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 49c | 506.9$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.52 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0f86backed Over | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Over | 62c | 416.51$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 41c | 362$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.58 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…eb31backed Over | 60c | 333.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Under | 45c | 202$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.1 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…594bbacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 10c | 151.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Over | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 41c | 88.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 43c | 68.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Over | 59c | 67.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…eca6backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 42c | 43.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdda…938abacked Over | 60c | 41.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…ebb1backed Over | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…341fbacked Under | 43c | 39.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x456f…cd98backed Over | 54c | 39.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 57c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ae…18a2backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 34.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 30.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Under | 60c | 26.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cef…ca33backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…607bbacked Over | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 66c | 22.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sinner vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5this page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs DjokovicSinner won
- Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs DjokovicSinner won
- Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs DjokovicSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)Sinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)Sinner won
- Sinner vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak DjokovicJannik Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.