TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7141…341f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LRN Playoffsbacked Fuego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Team Heretics Academy (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$42.16
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+400%+$60
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: 3v Team vs LYON Academy (BO5) - LRN Playoffsbacked LYON Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.79
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Will Hanwha Life Esports Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$25.89
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$108.44
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$40.67
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$46.02
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$52.21
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$69.18
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$177.27
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+29.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Istanbul 2: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Tatiana Prozorovabacked Tatiana Prozorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.75
Rome: Darya Astakhova vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Noma Noha Akugue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$38.38
Lincoln: Spencer Johnson vs Remy Bertolabacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.49
Sinner vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.51
Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$136.79
Bad Homburg Open: Alexandra Eala vs Elise Mertensbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.44
Poznan: Dalibor Svrcina vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$7.88
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$116.67
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Peyton Stearns vs Gabriela Rusebacked Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$101
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+154.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$23.59
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$43.16
Brian Brobbey: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$60.59
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$23.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$55.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sonia Citron: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.