Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Peyton Stearns vs Gabriela Ruse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6e0115a09be168723256249e089e29884caa9c0aa557cb68d815e056e3acc71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ruseof Stearns, Ruse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stearns | 8c | 11,250$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Stearns | 11c | 6,431$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.24 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Stearns | 17c | 5,883$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ruse | 80c | 4,776$3,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.04 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Ruse | 72c | 4,318$3,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.05 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Stearns | 24c | 1,975$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.27 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Stearns | 22c | 1,877$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Stearns | 10c | 1,368$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Ruse | 64c | 1,227$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.62 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Stearns | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Ruse | 49c | 1,014$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.82 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Stearns | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Stearns | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Stearns | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Stearns | 52c | 960$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.58 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Stearns | 28c | 904.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Ruse | 56c | 894.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.26 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Stearns | 45c | 700$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Ruse | 54c | 626.39$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.14 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stearns | 34c | 601.28$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.29 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Ruse | 57c | 556.57$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…0bb0backed Stearns | 17c | 527.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ruse | 71c | 507.84$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.52 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ruse | 75c | 472.24$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.51 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Stearns | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Stearns | 10c | 390$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stearns | 22c | 339.61$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Ruse | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Stearns | 35c | 324.96$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Stearns | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Stearns | 15c | 300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Ruse | 67c | 278.19$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Stearns | 20c | 277$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Stearns | 11c | 245.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…341fbacked Stearns | 44c | 229.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Stearns | 44c | 212.82$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Ruse | 47c | 205$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.7 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Stearns | 10c | 201$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Ruse | 74c | 162.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Stearns | 46c | 161.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Stearns | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Ruse | 47c | 145$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…dfdbbacked Stearns | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Stearns | 39c | 141.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…80dbbacked Ruse | 76c | 137.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3848…776abacked Stearns | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed Stearns | 16c | 129.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ruse | 72c | 115.58$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Stearns | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Stearns | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Stearns | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Stearns | 43c | 92.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf77…d66dbacked Ruse | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Stearns | 44c | 79.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ruse | 73c | 60.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…9664backed Ruse | 55c | 54.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Ruse | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Ruse | 55c | 46.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Ruse | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stearns | 31c | 44.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6345…dd94backed Ruse | 55c | 42.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed Ruse | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1356…d4f3backed Stearns | 27c | 40.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stearns | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…2954backed Ruse | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Ruse | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Ruse | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2204…814abacked Stearns | 47c | 34.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ruse | 53c | 32.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Stearns | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Stearns | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e4…98f5backed Ruse | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Ruse | 57c | 24.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Stearns | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 348 | 51.1%178 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…a83bbacked Ruse | 71c | 21.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Ruse | 54c | 20.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaee…0742backed Ruse | 55c | 19.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.