Fifa International · resolved market
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc7f7ea763cb61b598f3da55fc9c879e6f37a57f684f524dbc437a5bf6bd36b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 50c | 2,802$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.29 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 50c | 2,007$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.34 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 54c | 1,153$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.97 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,153$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.23 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 816.94$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.26 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 53c | 730.65$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.44 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 55c | 461.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.82 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe657…b24fbacked Yes | 46c | 457$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.78 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked No | 55c | 453.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | +15.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked Yes | 48c | 430$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 164 | 41.5%68 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 52c | 361$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.03 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 47c | 300.19$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.78 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 45c | 255$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 53c | 253.19$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.19 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 66c | 243.06$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed No | 57c | 233.01$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 57c | 226.53$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe674…d632backed Yes | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…7bf4backed Yes | 47c | 208.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…c40dbacked Yes | 47c | 175$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 53c | 155.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.38 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 123.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Yes | 46c | 117.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…b478backed Yes | 46c | 107.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 91 | 63.7%58 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9e…fe9dbacked Yes | 47c | 106.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf621…544ebacked Yes | 48c | 99.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…5d81backed Yes | 49c | 99.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…bf3bbacked Yes | 50c | 89.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 52c | 89.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 35c | 86.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b2…da2dbacked Yes | 39c | 74.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…4e9abacked Yes | 47c | 72.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…2e0abacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 204 | 51.5%105 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…341fbacked Yes | 30c | 61.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +154.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc61…bc17backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…72a8backed Yes | 47c | 52.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 242 | 56.6%137 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 329 | 59.6%196 W · 133 L | +21.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…f043backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c41…5cd2backed Yes | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a07…267fbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…181dbacked No | 58c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…2162backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 41c | 32.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a7…c8b3backed Yes | 46c | 32.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75c2…4940backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked Yes | 47c | 31.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 44c | 30.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 54c | 30.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ca…bd95backed Yes | 48c | 28.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 64c | 25.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f98…e397backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +127.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 51c | 22.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…270abacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -16.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed No | 66c | 15.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsthis page
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 3+ goalsNo won
- Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goalsYes won
- Giovani Lo Celso: 3+ goalsNo won
- Giovani Lo Celso: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assistsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 2+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 3+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- José Manuel López: 3+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsYes won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nicolás Paz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Nicolás Paz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nicolás Paz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Nicolás Paz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Thiago Almada: 1+ shotsYes won
- Thiago Almada: 3+ goalsNo won
- Yazeed Abulaila: 2+ savesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.