Fifa International · resolved market
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x817c2b57703ff6e3820e4427ded1b997fd40ae7038c9d5cf3713ba2c8d0b314b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 47c | 13,500$6,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,104.95 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes | 54c | 12,873$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 5,077$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.34 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 50c | 2,890$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.68 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 51c | 2,737$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 51c | 2,665$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.18 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 46c | 2,410$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.39 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Yes | 50c | 1,972$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.1 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 53c | 1,904$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 48c | 1,588$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.57 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed No | 50c | 1,500$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.98 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 44c | 1,499$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.38 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…bd80backed Yes | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 49c | 1,152$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.58 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 52c | 1,098$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…ec8abacked Yes | 3c | 1,069$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…fa6dbacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 51c | 960$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.33 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 47c | 918.26$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.3 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 48c | 789.93$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.57 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…36f3backed Yes | 13c | 655.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 49c | 623.85$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.99 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed Yes | 39c | 513.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c7…ddc8backed Yes | 51c | 503.42$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…26e9backed Yes | 52c | 473$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.61 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 41c | 427$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.93 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Yes | 51c | 391.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed No | 35c | 359.28$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.53 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 312.89$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 237 | 36.3%86 W · 151 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 52c | 289.04$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked No | 51c | 283$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed No | 50c | 270.2$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 52c | 260$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 47c | 251$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.03 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed No | 49c | 216.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 61c | 214$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…5606backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe674…d632backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ce…286abacked Yes | 50c | 198.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 50c | 198.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 51c | 196.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb115…4e6fbacked Yes | 51c | 194.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…7bf4backed Yes | 52c | 187.21$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6c…f76bbacked Yes | 50c | 182.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 53c | 179.83$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 56c | 161$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed No | 39c | 152.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.62 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked No | 42c | 141.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 48c | 138.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…9cf7backed Yes | 71c | 126$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 157 | 27.4%43 W · 114 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 120.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa353…cfcebacked Yes | 44c | 120.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9583…fa5dbacked Yes | 31c | 112.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 60c | 111.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08d5…1cbbbacked Yes | 52c | 106.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0769…c7ecbacked No | 51c | 104.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6a…4694backed Yes | 48c | 104.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…5d81backed Yes | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…2089backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3229…4299backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…e9dcbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…4f10backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3b…5af6backed No | 54c | 92.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2323…4c3fbacked Yes | 51c | 74.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd290…4cb0backed Yes | 51c | 74.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked Yes | 52c | 71.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7540backed Yes | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd53…76d6backed No | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…885cbacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x609a…8fb5backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 50c | 56.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 60c | 56.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 329 | 59.6%196 W · 133 L | +21.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fc…1a65backed Yes | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 51c | 49.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4960…0648backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 51c | 48.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…4064backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 38.1%43 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed No | 52c | 47.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…4129backed Yes | 50c | 46.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6db…5199backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 53c | 44.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…e751backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…74c0backed No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…727abacked Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…b896backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsthis page
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 3+ goalsNo won
- Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goalsYes won
- Giovani Lo Celso: 3+ goalsNo won
- Giovani Lo Celso: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assistsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 2+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 3+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- José Manuel López: 3+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsYes won
- Lautaro Martínez: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsYes won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nicolás Paz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Nicolás Paz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nicolás Paz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Nicolás Paz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Thiago Almada: 1+ shotsYes won
- Thiago Almada: 3+ goalsNo won
- Yazeed Abulaila: 2+ savesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.