Fifa International · resolved market
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3ada258f8f57a4b09e272b0b1b0d238779f9e6c374640440932d0ff7ccf7eec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $333,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $361,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $333,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Yes | 31c | 93,512$28,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,591.81 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed No | 68c | 36,951$25,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,176.52 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…3d54backed No | 67c | 23,689$15,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,864.22 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 70c | 20,798$14,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,583.23 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 58c | 16,968$9,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,921.56 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 66c | 16,715$11,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,031.91 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 67c | 16,000$10,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,719.81 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.92 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Yes | 34c | 14,367$4,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,547.49 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 68c | 10,375$7,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,087.39 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Yes | 34c | 10,000$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,605.2 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 32c | 8,967$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,103.4 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 68c | 8,691$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,949.59 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed No | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…46d2backed Yes | 32c | 6,260$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.8 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 32c | 6,212$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,238.66 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed No | 70c | 6,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.99 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.6 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…ae48backed No | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.98 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed No | 71c | 4,857$3,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,452.57 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 30c | 4,550$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.42 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed No | 68c | 4,242$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.77 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed No | 69c | 4,030$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.79 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6b…d7eebacked No | 73c | 3,398$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked No | 67c | 3,261$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.55 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f3…3ffebacked Yes | 33c | 3,197$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.99 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 28c | 3,155$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.18 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 56c | 3,135$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.96 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf83c…e423backed Yes | 33c | 3,042$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.42 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked Yes | 32c | 3,030$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.4 | 164 | 41.5%68 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 53c | 3,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.98 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…5bd7backed No | 55c | 2,962$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.62 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 67c | 2,376$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.41 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No | 67c | 2,087$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.41 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed Yes | 31c | 2,017$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.49 | 234 | 27.8%65 W · 169 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…e21bbacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.19 | 268 | 36.9%99 W · 169 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…2960backed No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99db…97eabacked Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.97 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 1,828$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.76 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1e…8d17backed No | 69c | 1,741$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 11c | 1,726$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.72 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…f831backed Yes | 32c | 1,656$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,636$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.36 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 69c | 1,501$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.83 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…98bebacked Yes | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…1540backed No | 70c | 1,432$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 45c | 1,301$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.98 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 61c | 1,260$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.52 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…9cedbacked Yes | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.12 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44f3…975cbacked No | 67c | 1,143$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.64 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…8121backed Yes | 34c | 1,141$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.18 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed No | 72c | 1,115$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.39 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked No | 68c | 1,100$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.44 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 65c | 1,095$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.79 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5217…ec29backed No | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed No | 69c | 999.92$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.95 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +132.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 69c | 952.47$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.3 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e56…ee9ebacked Yes | 32c | 951.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…bc8ebacked Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 41c | 923.91$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.81 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…27bfbacked Yes | 33c | 906.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.65 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed No | 69c | 876.14$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.54 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed No | 70c | 841.26$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.97 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 35c | 824.52$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.21 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…a30ebacked Yes | 33c | 824.52$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.43 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Yes | 30c | 820$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed Yes | 32c | 788.66$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.66 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.25 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 69c | 777$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.13 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Yes | 42c | 750$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 68c | 749.96$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.47 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed No | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…36f3backed Yes | 35c | 730.35$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.35 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Yes | 74c | 711.8$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.48 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2268…05bdbacked Yes | 35c | 709.43$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.13 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…40d8backed Yes | 45c | 683.88$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.44 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked No | 73c | 680.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…f0c8backed No | 65c | 676.66$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.28 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…6f86backed No | 67c | 671.64$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 9c | 662.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.12 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +18.5wins | +0.20per pick | 28cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes | 47c | 657.14$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.14 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8970…f311backed Yes | 43c | 645.35$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.13 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…49d8backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 62c | 622.79$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.27 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 32c | 620.57$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.4 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 17c | 606.42$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.01 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 38c | 594.74$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.74 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a28…8962backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…b1debacked No | 62c | 585.78$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.18 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 33c | 575.15$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.33 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…0bc2backed Yes | 36c | 562.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.06 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes | 69c | 561.47$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.44 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…44aabacked Yes | 33c | 556.15$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.62 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Yes | 40c | 550.25$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Yes | 22c | 548.39$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.01 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 17c | 546.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.54 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsthis page
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 3+ goalsNo won
- Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goalsYes won
- Giovani Lo Celso: 3+ goalsNo won
- Giovani Lo Celso: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assistsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 2+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 3+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- José Manuel López: 3+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsYes won
- Lautaro Martínez: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nicolás Paz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Nicolás Paz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nicolás Paz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Nicolás Paz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Thiago Almada: 1+ shotsYes won
- Thiago Almada: 3+ goalsNo won
- Yazeed Abulaila: 2+ savesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.