Lol · resolved market
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71b0a86622b1a8e0631f02e063abadbc18c23d0b3cf09e910060c8be9c576bbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Shopify Rebellion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $842,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $949,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $842,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b1d…76a0backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 95,856$34,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,465.02 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed LYON | 57c | 55,630$31,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,034.45 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 44,957$22,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,463.32 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked LYON | 52c | 43,331$22,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,913.86 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LYON | 70c | 35,904$25,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,631.1 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 25,545$8,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,921.91 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed LYON | 75c | 23,246$17,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,806.83 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe100…4d41backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 22,148$4,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,405.12 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…9722backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 22,114$5,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,307.1 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed LYON | 53c | 17,241$9,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,157.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…baafbacked Shopify Rebellion | 0c | 17,143$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…3c09backed LYON | 73c | 17,043$12,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,635 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed LYON | 49c | 16,014$7,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,120.89 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 11,141$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.93 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Shopify Rebellion | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 9,036$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.33 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed LYON | 48c | 8,802$4,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,535.43 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 8,088$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.46 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked LYON | 74c | 8,000$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 7,984$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…5d00backed Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 7,539$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990.15 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 7,495$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.18 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 7,440$3,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630.92 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 6,547$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.65 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked LYON | 68c | 6,477$4,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.92 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed LYON | 61c | 6,142$3,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.05 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed LYON | 79c | 5,955$4,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked LYON | 58c | 5,737$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.95 | 294 | 43.2%127 W · 167 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed LYON | 56c | 5,591$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.67 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 5,517$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 5,257$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.26 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa759…1119backed Shopify Rebellion | 52c | 4,342$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.46 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 4,333$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.24 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 3,940$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.87 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed LYON | 52c | 3,775$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.05 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed LYON | 62c | 3,146$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.05 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…15babacked Shopify Rebellion | 51c | 3,144$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…1d07backed LYON | 48c | 3,141$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.7 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LYON | 67c | 3,134$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.6 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 48c | 3,016$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.02 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 2,963$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 246 | 58.5%144 W · 102 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 2,935$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.74 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Shopify Rebellion | 52c | 2,835$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.07 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…e40dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 2,823$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.08 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed LYON | 74c | 2,700$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed LYON | 56c | 2,666$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.21 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LYON | 75c | 2,649$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.87 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed LYON | 61c | 2,593$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.45 | 585 | 59.7%349 W · 236 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed LYON | 80c | 2,500$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.89 | 288 | 59%170 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 2,500$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.12 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed LYON | 73c | 2,387$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.41 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 2,321$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.85 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 2,183$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.37 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…c6d9backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 2,126$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.39 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked LYON | 60c | 2,057$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.31 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Shopify Rebellion | 5c | 2,050$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdb…7857backed LYON | 66c | 2,029$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.52 | 83 | 73.5%61 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed LYON | 73c | 2,014$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.76 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked LYON | 54c | 2,012$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.85 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed LYON | 76c | 2,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2a99backed LYON | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed LYON | 54c | 2,000$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.24 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed LYON | 60c | 1,978$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.29 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked LYON | 76c | 1,974$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.68 | 826 | 50%413 W · 413 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 1,959$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.58 | 350 | 58.6%205 W · 145 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 1,950$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.53 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked LYON | 60c | 1,930$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.05 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked LYON | 55c | 1,910$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.72 | 218 | 28.4%62 W · 156 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…96adbacked Shopify Rebellion | 48c | 1,874$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 163 | 66.3%108 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked LYON | 50c | 1,833$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.43 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked LYON | 75c | 1,809$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.65 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 1,754$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.73 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed LYON | 68c | 1,718$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.09 | 213 | 52.6%112 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed LYON | 71c | 1,686$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.71 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed LYON | 60c | 1,661$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.58 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed LYON | 58c | 1,640$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.99 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 1,600$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed LYON | 64c | 1,596$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.94 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 1,581$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.84 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked LYON | 75c | 1,505$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.2 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed LYON | 52c | 1,466$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.05 | 670 | 57.5%385 W · 285 L | +24.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 1,430$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.7 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…1409backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 1,402$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.7 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked LYON | 66c | 1,320$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.48 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed LYON | 73c | 1,274$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 1,271$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.87 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed LYON | 50c | 1,200$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604 | 320 | 45.6%146 W · 174 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked LYON | 49c | 1,185$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.9 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 1,160$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…6193backed LYON | 53c | 1,110$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.8 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Shopify Rebellion | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.99 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Shopify Rebellion | 52c | 1,100$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.99 | 353 | 46.7%165 W · 188 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed LYON | 72c | 1,070$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.62 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked LYON | 75c | 1,047$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.98 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 1,045$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.57 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.