Lol · resolved market
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8029d563ba40b1169db74fd113497c9424cd7f6e76324ad911f20a59219ef56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Shopify Rebellion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 40,637$5,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,647.18 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…9722backed Shopify Rebellion | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON | 76c | 8,700$6,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 8,080$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.75 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed LYON | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa759…1119backed LYON | 72c | 7,242$5,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.21 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shopify Rebellion | 3c | 6,122$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.9 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 6,104$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.15 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 6,039$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.78 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed LYON | 75c | 5,973$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.25 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 5,482$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.08 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 4,828$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.3 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 4,192$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.14 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 3,556$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.71 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed LYON | 74c | 3,503$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.01 | 345 | 58.3%201 W · 144 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 3,235$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.56 | 409 | 33.7%138 W · 271 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef9…3d08backed LYON | 76c | 2,550$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.91 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -15.5wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked LYON | 74c | 2,268$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.13 | 1,482 | 50%741 W · 741 L | +65.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed LYON | 76c | 1,963$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.66 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked LYON | 72c | 1,952$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.57 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 1,913$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked LYON | 75c | 1,809$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.38 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 1,802$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.56 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…442bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 1,781$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.87 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 1,705$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.14 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…c6d9backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 1,608$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.91 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…c3d9backed Shopify Rebellion | 7c | 1,544$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed LYON | 77c | 1,387$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.13 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked LYON | 74c | 1,350$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.05 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Shopify Rebellion | 13c | 1,222$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 1,161$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.57 | 445 | 38.2%170 W · 275 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked LYON | 75c | 1,149$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.37 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked LYON | 78c | 1,095$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.9 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +16.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…be9bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 1,068$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…1409backed LYON | 73c | 995.59$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.81 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed LYON | 78c | 977$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.94 | 338 | 56.2%190 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 936$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.23 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked LYON | 75c | 933.33$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 318 | 49.7%158 W · 160 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked LYON | 78c | 919$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.18 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…b665backed Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 905.49$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed LYON | 76c | 882.96$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.71 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…7f7dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 878$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.28 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LYON | 71c | 861.05$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.7 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 843$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 541 | 34.8%188 W · 353 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 13c | 753.1$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 750$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…ead4backed Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 719.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Shopify Rebellion | 6c | 700$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked LYON | 75c | 674$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.91 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked LYON | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked LYON | 75c | 658.33$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.58 | 520 | 65.4%340 W · 180 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked LYON | 76c | 647$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.28 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked LYON | 76c | 647$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.28 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LYON | 69c | 636.26$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.24 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Shopify Rebellion | 7c | 632.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 456 | 57.9%264 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 618$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.05 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed LYON | 76c | 590.78$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.79 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 543$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.18 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed LYON | 76c | 542.58$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.22 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked LYON | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 826 | 50%413 W · 413 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 529.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…2d13backed LYON | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 509.9$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 1,917 | 42.3%810 W · 1,107 L | -44.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked Shopify Rebellion | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 218 | 28.4%62 W · 156 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 487.48$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 466.67$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed LYON | 69c | 444$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c1…1527backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 442.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 430.34$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Shopify Rebellion | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked LYON | 76c | 399.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed Shopify Rebellion | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 550 | 10.4%57 W · 493 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed LYON | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 772 | 46.2%357 W · 415 L | +18.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed LYON | 76c | 392$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.84 | 588 | 50.5%297 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed LYON | 76c | 350$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 346.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 553 | 47%260 W · 293 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed LYON | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed LYON | 72c | 333.33$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ba0backed Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 323.35$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a76…29dcbacked LYON | 74c | 303.16$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Shopify Rebellion | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 383 | 39.7%152 W · 231 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed LYON | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdb…7857backed LYON | 74c | 286.49$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 83 | 73.5%61 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Shopify Rebellion | 5c | 285$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked LYON | 72c | 276.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 265 | 51.7%137 W · 128 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…413fbacked LYON | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 255.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed LYON | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked LYON | 75c | 238.67$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 230$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1,301 | 47.2%614 W · 687 L | -32.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a2…aa49backed LYON | 76c | 216.39$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 211.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 632 | 48.3%305 W · 327 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.