Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21721d719301c609354d6f8b02933908e4feeba9f92074d616304d0465fe940d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Shopify Rebellion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf377…4159backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 15,799$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed LYON | 47c | 10,535$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,535.6 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 10,358$4,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,246.21 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 9,022$3,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,817.33 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked LYON | 61c | 8,787$5,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,448.22 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked LYON | 58c | 7,500$4,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.99 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked LYON | 59c | 6,294$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.57 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed LYON | 59c | 5,544$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.17 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Shopify Rebellion | 39c | 5,433$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.55 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 5,043$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.44 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed LYON | 56c | 3,572$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.11 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed LYON | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 284 | 48.6%138 W · 146 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked LYON | 59c | 1,940$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.08 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed LYON | 59c | 1,671$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.01 | 642 | 43%276 W · 366 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 1,245$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.62 | 834 | 60.8%507 W · 327 L | +44.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…6cf3backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 1,086$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 900.02$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.43 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 656.34$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 503 | 44.9%226 W · 277 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed LYON | 60c | 600$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed LYON | 60c | 580.5$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked LYON | 60c | 550.08$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.08 | 509 | 56.2%286 W · 223 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 530$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 520$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…4593backed LYON | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed LYON | 60c | 500$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.81 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 499.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.15 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…3ca3backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 488$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed LYON | 61c | 485.25$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.25 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…2694backed LYON | 55c | 423.09$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.29 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed LYON | 62c | 404.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.68 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked LYON | 60c | 399.72$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.89 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 376.74$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Shopify Rebellion | 39c | 375$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.37 | 396 | 51%202 W · 194 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…ed3bbacked LYON | 60c | 366.67$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 269 | 50.9%137 W · 132 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 356$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.2 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…2737backed LYON | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 299.65$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 274.42$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 1,044 | 50.4%526 W · 518 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 261.34$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked LYON | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 350 | 45.1%158 W · 192 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 241.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.48 | 283 | 53.4%151 W · 132 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511d…3633backed LYON | 60c | 224.96$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 162 | 56.2%91 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 219.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 214.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 447 | 50.6%226 W · 221 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked LYON | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 192.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed LYON | 59c | 186.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ae…b263backed Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 175.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 172.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 171.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…aab1backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 170.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 190 | 45.3%86 W · 104 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed LYON | 59c | 142.03$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 129.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 126.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed LYON | 54c | 125$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed LYON | 42c | 116.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked LYON | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked LYON | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0e…e5bcbacked Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 96.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x916a…a570backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 96.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 87.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 1,023 | 45.1%461 W · 562 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a4…ad72backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 86.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 86.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f4…dc3ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 85.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked LYON | 60c | 83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Shopify Rebellion | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…4b02backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 72.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked LYON | 61c | 65.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 60.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…ca3abacked LYON | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed LYON | 59c | 49.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…2ad7backed LYON | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…fddabacked Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 42.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 41.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b2…633abacked LYON | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 32.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 30.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…d257backed LYON | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed LYON | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked LYON | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 251 | 65.7%165 W · 86 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 27.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 27.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 26.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 420 | 44%185 W · 235 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.