MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16dba23afb7f9ced92a924520f7f9af109cab6ecf455ad0121cbfc4e4820697a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $493,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $515,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 401 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 77,777$39,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,110.71 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 55c | 59,646$32,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,643.68 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets | 48c | 39,957$19,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,179.81 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Mets | 37c | 30,000$10,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,949.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 15,249$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,472.02 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…df44backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 14,962$9,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,544.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 14,423$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,923.08 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 70c | 13,348$9,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,309.11 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 55c | 13,244$7,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,222.01 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 13,227$5,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,707.68 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Boston Red Sox | 25c | 12,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 8,979$4,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,957.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked New York Mets | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.99 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 6,985$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.4 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 70c | 6,545$4,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,606.78 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 39c | 5,504$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.97 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed New York Mets | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked New York Mets | 54c | 5,044$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.72 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 4,529$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.08 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 4,089$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.16 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 3,965$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.33 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.78 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 3,704$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.71 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 3,480$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.1 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc62…c963backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 3,200$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.08 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed New York Mets | 49c | 2,949$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.08 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 53c | 2,765$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.92 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 2,665$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 2,609$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.4 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed New York Mets | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,403$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.18 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 67c | 2,161$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.79 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…1394backed Boston Red Sox | 10c | 2,008$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.75 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Mets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 41c | 1,976$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.72 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,745$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.07 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked New York Mets | 73c | 1,676$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.3 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Mets | 32c | 1,447$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.31 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 1,383$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.22 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets | 48c | 1,371$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.58 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 50c | 1,341$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.87 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked New York Mets | 49c | 1,282$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.18 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…2e67backed New York Mets | 48c | 1,258$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,229$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,207$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.93 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +18.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 1,174$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Boston Red Sox | 26c | 1,152$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.74 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Boston Red Sox | 15c | 1,100$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.29 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,079$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.71 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked New York Mets | 65c | 1,072$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.87 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 1,030$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked New York Mets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 975.07$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.78 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed New York Mets | 74c | 968$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.32 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 958.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.68 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 37c | 901.79$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.28 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 900.49$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.33 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 875.04$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.18 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 804.05$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.87 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Mets | 66c | 800$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.53 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Mets | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked New York Mets | 61c | 791.48$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.75 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Mets | 57c | 769.3$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.84 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 658$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 603.08$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.77 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed New York Mets | 2c | 599.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7aa…08c3backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…e0f5backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 502.98$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.4 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Boston Red Sox | 34c | 499.97$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.98 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 493.1$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.17 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 490.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.22 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed Boston Red Sox | 5c | 488.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.46 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 5cpaid | +411.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 461.8$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.46 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4adb…bca7backed New York Mets | 62c | 456.87$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 439.05$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.16 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed New York Mets | 49c | 438.04$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.64 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 427.68$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.01 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 424.04$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.54 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed New York Mets | 63c | 415.87$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…5076backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 399$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 390.32$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.94 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed New York Mets | 55c | 357.35$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.01 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Boston Red Sox | 5c | 355$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.25 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed New York Mets | 73c | 338.53$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.16 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 337.13$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.59 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 324$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed New York Mets | 48c | 323.52$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.84 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 323.24$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.39 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Boston Red Sox | 34c | 321.65$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.65 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Mets | 48c | 321.49$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.17 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 321.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.82 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 320$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.