TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbc62…c963

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)backed FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$196.08
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.11
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs WBT (+1.5)backed WBT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5)backed Grêmio Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$827Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$826.85
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Wildcard (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,040
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Prospect · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.29
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Abacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,502.86
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked eSuba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,770
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$786Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,833.43
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,668
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,479Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$2,128.09
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.35
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$252.17
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.15
Swiss Open: Clement Tabur vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$860
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$85
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$854Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$888.5
PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sunbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,530
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.88
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,694Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$1,506
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$809.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$39.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KÍ vs. FC Atert Bissen: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viking FK win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.