WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6813f0948d0659be6fb4b5925c3292c5cdc8566bdea4298ba5db274e498b17d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof PortlandFire, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 30,097$14,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,661.12 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed PortlandFire | 52c | 20,115$10,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,459.8 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 19,905$10,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,070.45 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 16,444$8,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,045.4 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed PortlandFire | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed PortlandFire | 52c | 13,114$6,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,819.07 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire | 31c | 10,421$3,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235.81 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…a2d1backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 10,251$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,251.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PortlandFire | 38c | 9,885$3,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,781.62 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 9,593$4,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,898.91 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun | 57c | 8,738$4,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.86 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed PortlandFire | 26c | 7,050$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.36 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PortlandFire | 48c | 6,386$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.96 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked PortlandFire | 49c | 5,790$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.01 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Connecticut Sun | 75c | 5,590$4,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.35 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed PortlandFire | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed PortlandFire | 50c | 4,528$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.38 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked PortlandFire | 47c | 3,870$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.21 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed PortlandFire | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed PortlandFire | 31c | 3,633$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.57 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PortlandFire | 30c | 3,409$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.36 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Connecticut Sun | 57c | 3,356$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.62 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc62…c963backed PortlandFire | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 2,496$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.12 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Connecticut Sun | 60c | 2,440$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.98 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked PortlandFire | 52c | 2,431$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.55 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed PortlandFire | 1c | 2,245$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 2,210$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.76 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Connecticut Sun | 74c | 2,205$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.65 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed PortlandFire | 45c | 2,156$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed PortlandFire | 52c | 2,129$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed PortlandFire | 24c | 1,943$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.37 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked PortlandFire | 45c | 1,909$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.4 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked PortlandFire | 17c | 1,798$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 1,570$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.3 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 1,520$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.54 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Connecticut Sun | 68c | 1,453$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.57 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed PortlandFire | 13c | 1,405$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.72 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun | 79c | 1,379$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.31 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed PortlandFire | 17c | 1,100$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8c…3771backed Connecticut Sun | 80c | 1,070$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed PortlandFire | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 979.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e8…ebb7backed PortlandFire | 21c | 949.43$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed PortlandFire | 17c | 948.8$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.81 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PortlandFire | 25c | 912.57$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.31 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked PortlandFire | 2c | 900$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PortlandFire | 41c | 838$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.81 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Connecticut Sun | 77c | 815.71$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…244dbacked PortlandFire | 53c | 805.66$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Connecticut Sun | 56c | 801.55$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.68 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed PortlandFire | 27c | 780.79$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.67 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed PortlandFire | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed PortlandFire | 53c | 710.68$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed PortlandFire | 24c | 676.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.63 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e4…1f69backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 676.58$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Connecticut Sun | 80c | 668.85$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.01 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed PortlandFire | 27c | 509.9$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.89 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked Connecticut Sun | 54c | 509.53$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.81 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked PortlandFire | 52c | 501.2$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.62 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed PortlandFire | 52c | 500.03$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.18 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked PortlandFire | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed PortlandFire | 40c | 495.45$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.63 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked PortlandFire | 29c | 432.86$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.26 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…4800backed PortlandFire | 50c | 423.52$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.76 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed PortlandFire | 47c | 400$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d9…724ebacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed PortlandFire | 49c | 395.91$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed PortlandFire | 50c | 375$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Connecticut Sun | 57c | 352.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.83 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Connecticut Sun | 71c | 336.16$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked PortlandFire | 29c | 330.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 327.52$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.48 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Connecticut Sun | 74c | 320.17$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed PortlandFire | 51c | 316.5$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.42 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked PortlandFire | 16c | 314.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked PortlandFire | 20c | 308.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked PortlandFire | 19c | 301.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed PortlandFire | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fe…97aebacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked PortlandFire | 49c | 298.13$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.91 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed PortlandFire | 53c | 269.81$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Connecticut Sun | 56c | 267.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.85 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed PortlandFire | 46c | 266.54$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…66f2backed PortlandFire | 23c | 265.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed PortlandFire | 27c | 264.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed PortlandFire | 48c | 260$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed PortlandFire | 45c | 253.44$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.05 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…d5a6backed PortlandFire | 43c | 253.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked PortlandFire | 27c | 250.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked PortlandFire | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Connecticut Sun | 63c | 246.41$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed PortlandFire | 5c | 238.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Connecticut Sun | 61c | 238.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.52 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Connecticut Sun | 60c | 236.06$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Connecticut Sun | 74c | 236$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…70b1backed PortlandFire | 51c | 231.89$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.48 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sunthis page
- PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5Over won
- Spread: Connecticut Sun (-2.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-1.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.