WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d39f4296c57f7e93e63f22f346ab2859de112f9856668d531909c5da868717e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 47c | 9,365$4,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,401.52 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Under | 49c | 3,504$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.33 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 55c | 2,448$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.97 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 48c | 1,955$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.16 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 52c | 1,922$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.69 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 1,751$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.86 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 963.73$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.91 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 45c | 662.29$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.18 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Over | 67c | 599.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.43 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 11c | 532.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 348 | 26.4%92 W · 256 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 48c | 428.08$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.63 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 415.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.27 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 77c | 405.49$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 370.7$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.64 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 5c | 336.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Over | 77c | 323.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Over | 70c | 305.27$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 55c | 273.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 203.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 40c | 200.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 183.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 71c | 177.41$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 314 | 43%135 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 53c | 166.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.15 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 47c | 163.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 30c | 151$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 53c | 150.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Over | 69c | 142.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked Under | 33c | 142.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 55c | 119.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 20c | 108.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 59c | 96.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…33a6backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Over | 56c | 92.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 25c | 70.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 66.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 30c | 65.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Over | 61c | 62.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 47c | 59.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 52.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 321 | 48.6%156 W · 165 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 47c | 47.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 54c | 37.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Over | 52c | 32.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0821…82adbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…d17abacked Over | 76c | 26.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 64c | 24.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…59f1backed Over | 66c | 24.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 54c | 21.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5this page
- PortlandFire vs. Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun won
- PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5Over won
- Spread: Connecticut Sun (-2.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-1.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.