TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc174…66f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
169
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: WNBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT13766.4%91 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 137 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$108.29
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$70.03
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$109.06
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$82.91
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$53.77
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$43.59
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$56.99
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$605.51
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$130.33
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$88.92
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$129.4
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$53.27
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.24
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$302.53
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$276.21
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$78.56
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$461.88
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.84
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$147.46
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125.09
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$96.07
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$28.87
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.32
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.46
Showing 25 of 137 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28%+$32.94
Contrexeville: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubellobacked Alice Tubello · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.8
Brescia: Fiona Ferro vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$126.8
Figueira Da Foz: Anastasia Kulikova vs Mai Hontamabacked Anastasia Kulikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$47.96
Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Vera Zvonarevabacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$99.72
Figueira Da Foz: Sachia Vickery vs Beatriz Haddad Maiabacked Sachia Vickery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$63.13
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.99
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.57
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naefbacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$634.09
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$198
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$156.8
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+60%+$81.37
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.88
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshawbacked Felix Balshaw · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$41.59
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigurbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.64
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfibacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$209.34
Modena: Martina Trevisan vs Jennifer Ruggeribacked Martina Trevisan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$95.15
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$105.03
Birmingham: Celine Naef vs Mary Stoianabacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.84
All 20 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Skybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.04
New York Liberty vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$68.81
PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sunbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.07
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$41.14
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.45
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$77.72
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Stormbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$148.42
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Stormbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$87.95
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick76cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.34
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$37.27
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.62
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.