Tennis · resolved market
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95630f4ddc6b8e9d66f658cc4d43fed3112eacebbb33e9085621d7daeedbe193
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevaof Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva, Varvara Lepchenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Varvara Lepchenko | 0c | 13,242$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Varvara Lepchenko | 52c | 8,296$4,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,304.49 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Varvara Lepchenko | 52c | 2,135$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.64 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Varvara Lepchenko | 42c | 1,855$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.71 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Varvara Lepchenko | 18c | 1,664$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.8 | 931 | 40.4%376 W · 555 L | -32.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 67c | 1,495$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.77 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…34cebacked Varvara Lepchenko | 31c | 1,389$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Varvara Lepchenko | 17c | 1,354$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.68 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Varvara Lepchenko | 17c | 1,195$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…e829backed Varvara Lepchenko | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 50c | 1,053$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.37 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.4 | 1,842 | 44.8%825 W · 1,017 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…7357backed Varvara Lepchenko | 7c | 1,000$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 37c | 988.51$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.62 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Varvara Lepchenko | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 872 | 37.2%324 W · 548 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 57c | 787$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.91 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Varvara Lepchenko | 42c | 757.29$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.47 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…0619backed Varvara Lepchenko | 51c | 740.24$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.52 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Varvara Lepchenko | 30c | 739.74$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.47 | 1,377 | 16.3%224 W · 1,153 L | -109.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…2a53backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 58c | 738.48$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.16 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 477 | 56.6%270 W · 207 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 61c | 489.37$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.47 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Varvara Lepchenko | 48c | 485.64$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.51 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Varvara Lepchenko | 56c | 418.66$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 440 | 56.1%247 W · 193 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…be5dbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 44c | 400$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.43 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 79c | 284.81$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Varvara Lepchenko | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 887 | 49.8%442 W · 445 L | -22.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 49c | 242.39$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Varvara Lepchenko | 51c | 235$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…66f2backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 62c | 216.93$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 49c | 197$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…7fdfbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 56c | 180.41$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 65c | 152.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc1…7020backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 79c | 120.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Varvara Lepchenko | 39c | 120.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Varvara Lepchenko | 11c | 114.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 918 | 45.4%417 W · 501 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Varvara Lepchenko | 33c | 106.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 1,830 | 57.7%1,056 W · 774 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 47c | 101.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 54c | 98.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 68c | 87.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 31c | 85.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf85e…5cd5backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 74c | 68.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…00a9backed Varvara Lepchenko | 46c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 59c | 61.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Varvara Lepchenko | 36c | 59.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Varvara Lepchenko | 31c | 58.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…4ebcbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 50c | 54.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Varvara Lepchenko | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe7…24a0backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Varvara Lepchenko | 61c | 44.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Varvara Lepchenko | 57c | 42.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Varvara Lepchenko | 59c | 37.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Varvara Lepchenko | 41c | 33.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,828 | 53.1%971 W · 857 L | -44.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…7d6dbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Varvara Lepchenko | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 272 | 56.3%153 W · 119 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 40c | 30.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 36c | 30.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 73c | 27.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1,232 | 65.4%806 W · 426 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4224…31fbbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 59c | 23.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 221 | 38.9%86 W · 135 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…68f9backed Varvara Lepchenko | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe909…a007backed Varvara Lepchenko | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 78c | 12.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenkothis page
- Kasintseva vs. Lepchenko: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.