Fifa International · resolved market
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebb200cb08bbe89c2523a345947d083a992e27cc479cf1b5568407751e026d2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,080,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,268,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,080,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 7,580 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d36…0e68backed Yes | 63c | 4,938,651$3,096,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096,452.51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 1,569,553$628,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941,176.96 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 31c | 1,051,787$326,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725,655.39 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 34c | 1,019,066$347,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671,234.38 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed No | 38c | 920,000$348,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571,599.75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 69c | 845,001$584,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584,050.5 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x780a…84f0backed Yes | 67c | 778,512$518,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518,520.75 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 30c | 746,366$223,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522,456.22 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 32c | 550,381$174,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375,598.26 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 37c | 519,971$194,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325,545.4 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 378,331$183,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183,212.35 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked No | 37c | 338,353$124,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213,767.62 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 46c | 309,717$143,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,771.73 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed No | 32c | 300,000$97,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203,000 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…c428backed Yes | 63c | 285,195$179,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179,672.68 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 30c | 283,438$85,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198,406.64 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed No | 32c | 249,990$79,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169,993.17 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 69c | 249,223$171,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,027.81 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 68c | 200,000$136,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,400 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 31c | 194,075$60,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,911.75 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 38c | 173,655$65,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,248.72 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 30c | 149,999$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,999.11 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…08f7backed Yes | 70c | 130,064$91,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,044.58 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 32c | 113,154$36,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,971.43 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 66c | 104,932$69,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,718.6 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 31c | 101,972$31,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,540.88 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 30c | 99,997$29,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,997.93 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 64c | 95,836$61,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,175.46 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes | 62c | 93,465$57,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,948.6 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbd…1140backed Yes | 70c | 84,571$59,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,199.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 32c | 79,441$25,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,020.04 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 30c | 72,698$22,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,596.83 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 70c | 71,307$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed No | 37c | 70,048$25,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,130.24 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed No | 50c | 69,223$34,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,816.64 | 217 | 38.7%84 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 30c | 64,999$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,499.06 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 40c | 63,533$25,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,884.47 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 37c | 62,595$23,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,519.38 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Yes | 67c | 60,000$40,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,200 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 33c | 57,971$19,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,368.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 67c | 57,150$38,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,015.24 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 37c | 52,499$19,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,074.36 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 30c | 51,799$15,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,259.15 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 29c | 51,292$14,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,326.38 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 62c | 51,219$31,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,612.6 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 63c | 49,790$31,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,367.93 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…57e7backed Yes | 0c | 48,720$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked No | 37c | 47,625$17,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,806.54 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 59c | 46,470$27,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,916.4 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Yes | 67c | 46,076$31,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,008.57 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed No | 36c | 45,000$16,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,649.98 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 35c | 43,815$15,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,520.41 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 56c | 41,784$23,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,488.96 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x132f…453bbacked Yes | 69c | 40,128$27,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,688 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 62c | 38,323$23,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,818.98 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e6…e1c2backed Yes | 70c | 36,465$25,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,525.67 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…e4e7backed Yes | 70c | 35,714$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 67c | 35,648$23,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,722.39 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 64c | 34,627$22,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,148.91 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 50c | 33,503$16,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,643.04 | 219 | 46.1%101 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 41c | 33,369$13,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,615.52 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…7720backed Yes | 69c | 32,091$22,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,142.79 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 37c | 32,000$11,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,159.84 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…a34bbacked No | 29c | 30,326$8,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,531.3 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed No | 52c | 30,095$15,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,419.05 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 32c | 30,047$9,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,498.74 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 70c | 30,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Yes | 67c | 30,000$20,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,249.87 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes | 68c | 29,412$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 26c | 29,389$7,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,641.2 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 31c | 29,123$9,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,095.19 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 69c | 29,066$19,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,981.92 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…80dfbacked No | 31c | 29,000$8,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,055 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Yes | 67c | 29,000$19,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,429.98 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Yes | 69c | 28,666$19,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,779.77 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cd…a835backed Yes | 70c | 28,608$20,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,025.77 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…cf03backed Yes | 70c | 28,540$19,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,960.04 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8a…f2d9backed Yes | 70c | 28,406$19,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,743.22 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…aaa9backed No | 37c | 27,739$10,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,475.57 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked No | 32c | 27,000$8,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,348 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 68c | 26,904$18,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,291.66 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Yes | 68c | 26,069$17,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,726.59 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 36c | 25,457$9,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,329.34 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed No | 30c | 25,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,499.91 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 50c | 24,849$12,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,508.84 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 79c | 24,332$19,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,057.69 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 69c | 24,251$16,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,846.33 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…e3cabacked Yes | 69c | 24,242$16,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,727.17 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 53c | 23,576$12,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,083.14 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked Yes | 69c | 23,534$16,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,249.18 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 70c | 23,424$16,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,396.65 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Yes | 70c | 23,362$16,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,353.48 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked No | 37c | 22,356$8,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,084.28 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes | 68c | 22,059$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Yes | 68c | 22,059$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed No | 30c | 22,050$6,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,435 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed No | 38c | 21,370$8,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,354.27 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 31c | 21,300$6,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,696.87 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked No | 31c | 20,545$6,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,176.05 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…8063backed Yes | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?this page
- Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes won
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.