TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,080,949
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,268,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,080,949 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 7,580 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9d36…0e68backed Yes63c4,938,651$3,096,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,096,452.511225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c1,569,553$628,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941,176.964,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No31c1,051,787$326,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725,655.3977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No34c1,019,066$347,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671,234.385942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed No38c920,000$348,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571,599.751931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes69c845,001$584,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584,050.59142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x780a…84f0backed Yes67c778,512$518,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518,520.751776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No30c746,366$223,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522,456.2233538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No32c550,381$174,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375,598.2656541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No37c519,971$194,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325,545.474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes48c378,331$183,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183,212.358,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No37c338,353$124,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213,767.628440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No46c309,717$143,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165,771.7315844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed No32c300,000$97,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203,00022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24c5…c428backed Yes63c285,195$179,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179,672.681513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-75.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No30c283,438$85,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198,406.6410740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed No32c249,990$79,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169,993.1715552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes69c249,223$171,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,027.8117452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes68c200,000$136,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136,40042345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No31c194,075$60,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133,911.7520844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No38c173,655$65,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,248.7216244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No30c149,999$45,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,999.1116331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x417d…08f7backed Yes70c130,064$91,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,044.583920.5%8 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No32c113,154$36,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,971.4342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes66c104,932$69,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,718.62,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No31c101,972$31,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,540.8829952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No30c99,997$29,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,997.937941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes64c95,836$61,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,175.4614542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes62c93,465$57,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,948.66448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dbd…1140backed Yes70c84,571$59,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,199.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No32c79,441$25,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,020.047343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No30c72,698$22,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,596.8316835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes70c71,307$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed No37c70,048$25,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,130.246546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No50c69,223$34,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,816.6421738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed No30c64,999$19,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,499.067839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No40c63,533$25,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,884.471,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No37c62,595$23,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,519.3818738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Yes67c60,000$40,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,2007455.4%41 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes33c57,971$19,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,368.01742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes67c57,150$38,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,015.2424441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No37c52,499$19,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,074.3614349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No30c51,799$15,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,259.157843.6%34 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No29c51,292$14,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,326.3813533.3%45 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No62c51,219$31,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,612.62,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes63c49,790$31,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,367.9313235.6%47 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc871…57e7backed Yes0c48,720$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.721957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked No37c47,625$17,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,806.5414250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No59c46,470$27,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,916.431945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Yes67c46,076$31,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,008.579653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No36c45,000$16,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,649.988046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No35c43,815$15,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,520.419943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No56c41,784$23,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,488.9633337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x132f…453bbacked Yes69c40,128$27,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,6887135.2%25 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes62c38,323$23,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,818.9879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e6…e1c2backed Yes70c36,465$25,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,525.674158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73b7…e4e7backed Yes70c35,714$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-69.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes67c35,648$23,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,722.3938734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes64c34,627$22,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,148.918332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes50c33,503$16,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,643.0421946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No41c33,369$13,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,615.521,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e05…7720backed Yes69c32,091$22,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,142.792343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked No37c32,000$11,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,159.8414715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked No29c30,326$8,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,531.34936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed No52c30,095$15,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,419.0513738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No32c30,047$9,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,498.747630.3%23 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes70c30,000$21,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,0006749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Yes67c30,000$20,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,249.874360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes68c29,412$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00013639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes26c29,389$7,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,641.232031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No31c29,123$9,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,095.1925038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes69c29,066$19,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,981.9236247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c40…80dfbacked No31c29,000$8,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,0552941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Yes67c29,000$19,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,429.986159%36 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Yes69c28,666$19,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,779.774254.8%23 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23cd…a835backed Yes70c28,608$20,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,025.772969%20 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6880…cf03backed Yes70c28,540$19,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,960.046048.3%29 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d8a…f2d9backed Yes70c28,406$19,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,743.222962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed No37c27,739$10,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,475.5713448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked No32c27,000$8,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,3482441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes68c26,904$18,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,291.6621444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Yes68c26,069$17,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,726.597653.9%41 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No36c25,457$9,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,329.3431945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed No30c25,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,499.919131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No50c24,849$12,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,508.8475335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No79c24,332$19,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,057.6910550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes69c24,251$16,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,846.3365835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a5…e3cabacked Yes69c24,242$16,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,727.174663%29 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No53c23,576$12,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,083.1442043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked Yes69c23,534$16,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,249.1811637.9%44 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes70c23,424$16,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,396.6522639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Yes70c23,362$16,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,353.483470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked No37c22,356$8,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,084.287447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes68c22,059$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0007035.7%25 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes68c22,059$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00015337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No30c22,050$6,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,43511642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed No38c21,370$8,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,354.2714544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No31c21,300$6,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,696.875244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked No31c20,545$6,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,176.053754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf501…8063backed Yes70c20,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,0001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.