MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x810cdea8a2be0a014e3f833bf04b51960e9eb7f34771f032e60189b53faaad70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Philadelphia Phillies, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 13,925$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.86 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 12,718$7,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,083.38 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 6,541$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.86 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 5,124$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.82 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 3,804$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.91 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 3,471$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.12 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 3,033$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.02 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 2,090$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.58 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,991$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.4 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,523$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,509$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.4 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc62…c963backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,499$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,352$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.76 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 34c | 1,331$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.13 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,289$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.49 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,273$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.15 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,230$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.51 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 938.01$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.19 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 893.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 707.54$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.89 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 648.18$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.5 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 607$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.89 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 597.86$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.93 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 555.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.73 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 550$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 500.95$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 462.54$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.61 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 414.74$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.55 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 403.3$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.85 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3534…a1b3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 364.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 350.8$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.94 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 344.9$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 344.26$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 272.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 253$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 236.27$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 225$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 218.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.81 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 196.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 186.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 10c | 169.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 152.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 151.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 150$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 138.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 128.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 120.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 118.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 105$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 97.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 97.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 92.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…afc1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 73.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 69.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…0c74backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 66.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 64.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…c5dbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 56.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 46.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -9.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…c160backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…6b0bbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…344abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 37.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…9fcfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 34.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 32.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a6…bfeebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 32.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 30.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…2b09backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 29.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 27.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 25.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29f…dc4ebacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 25.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 13.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 14.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 15.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-8.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-9.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.