MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77f5e0337a602ae5f81f9f5afc97752cc0f88b06e252e0981ee4b4b9f0362fe8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Philadelphia Phillies, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $829,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $778,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $829,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 480 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 229,470$150,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,039.32 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 183,707$64,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,673.6 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 143,976$51,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,284.39 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 105,393$35,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,559.15 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 57,928$12,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,693.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 48,089$31,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,723.72 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 44,545$29,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,400.02 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 33,728$21,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,585.86 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 31,250$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 30,303$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 21,019$7,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,872.78 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 34c | 17,456$6,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,444.89 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 14,706$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,705.88 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 11,783$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 11,750$7,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,755 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 11,196$7,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,389.08 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 10,800$3,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,046.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 10,608$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,001.24 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 10,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 8,928$6,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,117.1 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 8,520$5,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,791.45 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 8,400$5,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,375.92 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 7,135$4,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,566.56 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 5,832$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.41 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 0c | 5,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 4,887$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.36 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 4,834$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.55 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 4,642$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,063.91 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 4,071$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.53 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 3,906$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 3,714$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.29 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 3,714$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.76 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 3,644$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.82 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 3,415$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.68 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 3,036$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.66 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 2,913$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.26 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 2,830$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.69 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 2,813$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc15b…38afbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 2,762$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 2,083$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.33 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 2,080$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.99 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 2,017$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.17 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.98 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…f91bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 1,800$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 1,607$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.83 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…9f36backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 1,463$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,439$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.13 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,396$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.47 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 1,241$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.62 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 1,126$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.59 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 1,033$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.3 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,021$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.67 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kansas City Royals | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 934.98$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.24 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 916.94$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 875$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 800$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.8 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 781$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 769.05$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 737.85$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.98 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 708.42$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.22 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 702$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.32 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 697.14$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.14 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 691.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.12 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 680$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 637.95$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.82 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 623$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.76 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 598.87$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.27 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 541$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.83 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Kansas City Royals | 21c | 480$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.2 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 454.62$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 448.4$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.63 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 447.14$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 442.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 400$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.4 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 21c | 377.82$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.48 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 373.37$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 206 | 57.8%119 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f14…a4ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 365.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 364.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…3c0cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 357.67$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 345.84$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.8 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 344.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.49 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Kansas City Royals | 34c | 334$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.44 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 324.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…46e8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 13.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 14.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 15.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-8.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-9.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.