MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xced03c94d544f1de181e549add5b39bb0a2c0a33f25d95482cabd52b607c4bd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $343,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $344,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 49c | 204,081$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,081.22 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 51c | 105,000$53,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,550 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 50c | 96,388$48,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,007.27 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 51c | 64,249$32,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,766.83 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Under | 51c | 40,529$20,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,669.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 29,811$14,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,201.72 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 26,398$13,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,407.17 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 49c | 15,395$7,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,806.34 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 49c | 10,884$5,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550.84 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 49c | 10,051$4,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,076.26 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 49c | 9,424$4,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,806.34 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 52c | 5,791$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,011.56 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 48c | 5,551$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.25 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 4,208$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.69 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 3,960$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.8 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 3,550$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.18 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 48c | 2,223$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.22 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.73 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 52c | 1,702$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.04 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 48c | 1,555$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.6 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 51c | 1,174$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.6 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 49c | 1,042$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.3 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 51c | 872.21$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.83 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 48c | 845.88$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.86 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 786.86$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.97 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 49c | 622.4$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.42 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 564.16$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.08 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 53c | 436.95$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.37 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 51c | 387.15$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.45 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 51c | 271.55$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.82 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 51c | 229.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 210$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.01 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 50c | 196.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.23 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 66c | 185.38$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 62c | 164$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 48c | 151.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 49c | 146$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 137$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 51c | 114.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 49c | 113.03$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 40c | 113$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Over | 49c | 101.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 50c | 99.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 50c | 98.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697a…4024backed Under | 49c | 96.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 50c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 51c | 86.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 52c | 85.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 51c | 84.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 52c | 78.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 52c | 78.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Over | 49c | 70.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 63c | 67.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…40b4backed Over | 48c | 66.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 43c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 51c | 62.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under | 51c | 57.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…1277backed Over | 50c | 57.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.8wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaf10…b9b0backed Over | 49c | 57.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 49.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…fc4bbacked Under | 53c | 48.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 52c | 48.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 33c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Under | 51c | 41.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fd82backed Under | 51c | 40.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…5162backed Under | 51c | 38.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked Over | 49c | 38.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +10.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 51c | 34.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd99a…1f3ebacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked Under | 51c | 28.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 179 | 52%93 W · 86 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…3e21backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 250 | 34.8%87 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 52c | 20.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 51c | 19.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…c5dbbacked Over | 70c | 19.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 13.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 14.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 15.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-8.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-9.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.