CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs WBT (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfdc1e5f19a71ba619a9db1cff94ccd1908849500bb8f110e29cd44722cd87df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Esportsof CYBERSHOKE Esports, WBT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 5,491$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.87 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 2,450$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.57 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed WBT | 37c | 1,211$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.91 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc62…c963backed WBT | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed WBT | 37c | 847.55$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.59 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed WBT | 37c | 645.27$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.09 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 609.99$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.79 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed WBT | 38c | 529.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed WBT | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed WBT | 37c | 513.51$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed WBT | 44c | 449.88$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.95 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed WBT | 38c | 409.16$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.97 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked WBT | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked WBT | 37c | 392.11$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.84 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed WBT | 37c | 375.57$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed WBT | 42c | 306$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.37 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed WBT | 38c | 296.15$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed WBT | 37c | 267.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 222$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 180.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 59c | 169.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked WBT | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…cd39backed WBT | 42c | 137.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed WBT | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked WBT | 36c | 132.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…9488backed WBT | 40c | 108.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed WBT | 39c | 100.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed WBT | 38c | 93.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed WBT | 43c | 81.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed WBT | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 58c | 70.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…6b60backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 64.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed WBT | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed WBT | 44c | 45.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked WBT | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed WBT | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 58c | 30.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…05afbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 49c | 23.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs WBT (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs WBT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 PlayoffsCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs WBT - Map 1 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs WBT - Map 2 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.