TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
9zof 9z, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,397
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,397 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked PARIVISION68c20,961$14,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,356.275,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked 9z32c11,194$3,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,612.191533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed PARIVISION68c5,105$3,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,477.652,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed 9z31c2,729$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.0321545.6%98 W · 117 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc62…c963backed 9z30c2,619$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.431442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked 9z32c2,467$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.3747147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed 9z52c1,631$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.857548%36 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked PARIVISION49c1,600$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.881,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked 9z32c1,247$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.155644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed 9z55c1,171$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.439158.2%53 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked 9z31c1,063$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.4617448.3%84 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked 9z30c1,028$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9827753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed PARIVISION69c724.63$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50059755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed PARIVISION69c629.71$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4352,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed PARIVISION45c611.43$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.0336645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f90…4c92backed 9z33c517.52$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.523132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed 9z33c450$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.555941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed PARIVISION46c430$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6522954.6%125 W · 104 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed 9z55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18038954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 9z40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2405,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd758…7af8backed 9z31c387.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.16931.9%22 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed 9z30c334.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.0851348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…a065backed 9z33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.037834.6%27 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed 9z32c300.01$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0199148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed PARIVISION70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked PARIVISION53c282.76$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.622,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed 9z31c267.5$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6348851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed 9z34c258.03$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3914544.8%65 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked 9z33c241.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9348845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed 9z30c217.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.258554.1%46 W · 39 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed PARIVISION60c214.78$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8721949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked PARIVISION60c200$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.421,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked PARIVISION25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x461f…8719backed 9z50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012544.8%56 W · 69 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed 9z33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5214041.4%58 W · 82 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked 9z33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.529839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 9z33c142.85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.712,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked 9z35c139.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.630639.5%121 W · 185 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed 9z30c133.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.946654.5%36 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked PARIVISION66c128.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5922447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed 9z35c115$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd2…2b73backed 9z31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696434.4%22 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed 9z30c99.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1489046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed 9z32c90$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.260451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4548…e4b5backed 9z32c83.33$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.781764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+76.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed PARIVISION30c79.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1616023.8%38 W · 122 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2393…bde0backed 9z33c78.79$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d8e…1b02backed 9z33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+136%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed PARIVISION67c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.251,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked 9z32c70$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.623234.9%81 W · 151 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24a…8382backed 9z52c56.48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1114248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…27d9backed PARIVISION48c52.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.146947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed 9z32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3467750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked 9z75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.572353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked 9z31c48.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.394057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked PARIVISION70c43.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4319151.8%99 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed PARIVISION70c39.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7960954%329 W · 280 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed 9z32c36.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1224054.6%131 W · 109 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf9…2968backed PARIVISION68c36.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253754.1%20 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+15.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9bb…cad6backed 9z35c32.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0413754%74 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed PARIVISION66c30.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 9z49c27.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.877,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3c…f084backed PARIVISION65c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6016…1ab5backed PARIVISION70c21.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3410457.7%60 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…ddc2backed PARIVISION69c15.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8812351.2%63 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked PARIVISION66c15.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0152645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.